TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086246
Played Sep 6Finished
Roman Piechnik
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121191113611––
Marcin Lach
Away
1.46
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:11 and never touched — 69.4% is still 69.4%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
69.4%
69.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
10121191113611––
H2H Roman Piechnik 2–2 Marcin Lach Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (64%)
Lach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piechnik 1305 vs Lach 1430
Lach
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piechnik 20% vs Lach 40%
Lach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piechnik 60% vs Lach 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piechnik +1 · Lach -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lach) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lach form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiechnik 2.55 / Lach 1.46
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Lach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13086246
Piechnik2.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 10 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Lach1.46
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 114 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePiechnik2wins
AwayLach2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piechnik2Lach2n = 4split evenly
S2Piechnik2Lach2n = 4split evenly
S3Piechnik2Lach2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricPiechnikLachP − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.238.0−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiechnikLachBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 50 vs 136 / 21640%63%20 / 50 vs 136 / 216Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachPiechnik 2.55/Lach 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.4%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 6 · 16:20R. Piechnik—1112113M. Lach—71040
LSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik—10111161M. Lach—12913113
LSep 5 · 15:30R. Piechnik—8580M. Lach—1111113
WSep 5 · 09:30R. Piechnik—1112129123M. Lach—8141011102
R. Piechnik10
WSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113LSep 6 · 15:30K. Slawinski1.70911911113R. Piechnik2.0011211392WSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270LSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123WSep 6 · 12:20R. Wojcik1.68121111492R. Piechnik2.02149911113LSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133LSep 6 · 09:30R. Piechnik2.6011811492K. Slawinski1.41511911113LSep 6 · 08:20R. Piechnik1.95714551R. Wojcik1.75111211113WSep 6 · 05:30R. Piechnik—1112133W. Wojtaszczyk—410110LSep 5 · 16:20R. Idaczyk2.01121111113R. Piechnik1.69147981
M. Lach10
LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111WSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101LSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113LSep 5 · 17:05M. Lach1.303660P. Slosarczyk3.201111113
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