TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087444
Played Sep 6Finished
Roman Piechnik
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191412117––––
Michal Oracz
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
1191412117––––
H2H Roman Piechnik 1–2 Michal Oracz Roman Piechnik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Piechnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piechnik 1257 vs Oracz 1466
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piechnik 20% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piechnik 20% vs Oracz 70%
Oracz
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piechnik -1 · Oracz +4
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Piechnik) · live re-read · sealed at 31% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiechnik 1.50 / Oracz 2.50
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Piechnik)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13087444
Piechnik1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Oracz2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog59% won 26 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePiechnik1wins
AwayOracz2wins
Oracz leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piechnik1Oracz2n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
S2Piechnik1Oracz2n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
S3Piechnik2Oracz1n = 3Piechnik took 2 of 3
S4Piechnik1Oracz2n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPiechnikOraczP − OBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.040.3−5.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiechnikOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 47 vs 323 / 52238.3%61.9%18 / 47 vs 323 / 522Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiechnikPiechnik 1.50/Oracz 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Piechnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Piechnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik—7116111M. Oracz—11911133
WAug 9 · 16:20R. Piechnik—11811113M. Oracz—911971
LAug 9 · 06:45R. Piechnik—791121M. Oracz—11118113
R. Piechnik10
WSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113LSep 6 · 15:30K. Slawinski1.70911911113R. Piechnik2.0011211392LSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123WSep 6 · 12:20R. Wojcik1.68121111492R. Piechnik2.02149911113LSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133LSep 6 · 09:30R. Piechnik2.6011811492K. Slawinski1.41511911113LSep 6 · 08:20R. Piechnik1.95714551R. Wojcik1.75111211113LSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik2.5510111161M. Lach1.4612913113WSep 6 · 05:30R. Piechnik—1112133W. Wojtaszczyk—410110LSep 5 · 16:20R. Idaczyk2.01121111113R. Piechnik1.69147981
M. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760WSep 6 · 07:30R. Wojcik2.4510411101M. Oracz1.4912116123WSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113LAug 30 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak1.661111113M. Oracz2.056690
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