TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087134
Played Sep 6Finished
Marcin Lach
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117911911––
Michal Oracz
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
911117911911––
H2H Marcin Lach 0–1 Michal Oracz Marcin Lach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lach 1411 vs Oracz 1448
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lach 60% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lach 50% vs Oracz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lach -1 · Oracz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.86 / Oracz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oracz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13087134
Lach1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 18 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Oracz1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 112 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it78% 90 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLach0wins
AwayOracz1wins
Oracz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLachOraczL − OBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.044.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 211 vs 322 / 52263%61.7%133 / 211 vs 322 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczLach 1.86/Oracz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113
M. Lach10
LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111WSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101WSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik2.5510111161M. Lach1.4612913113LSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113LSep 5 · 17:05M. Lach1.303660P. Slosarczyk3.201111113
M. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760WSep 6 · 07:30R. Wojcik2.4510411101M. Oracz1.4912116123WSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113LAug 30 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak1.661111113M. Oracz2.056690
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