TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088096
Played Sep 6Finished
Kacper Slawinski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711711––––
Michal Oracz
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1012711711––––
H2H Kacper Slawinski 10–7 Michal Oracz Michal Oracz has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1564 vs Oracz 1428
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 80% vs Oracz 60%
Slawinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 80% vs Oracz 60%
Slawinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski +2 · Oracz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.83 / Oracz 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slawinski)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13088096
Slawinski1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 83 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it82% 61 of 74
Oracz1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog59% won 26 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski7wins
AwayOracz3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski87.5%7 of 8
AwayOraczn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski8Oracz2n = 10Slawinski took 8 of 10
S2Slawinski7Oracz3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S3Slawinski7Oracz3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S4Slawinski0Oracz3n = 3Oracz took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiOraczS − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.730.8+5.9per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 995 vs 323 / 52262%61.9%617 / 995 vs 323 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.83/Oracz 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski—1511113M. Oracz—13760
WAug 29 · 12:20K. Slawinski—1111108113M. Oracz—77121162
WAug 29 · 11:05K. Slawinski—1111113M. Oracz—9590
LOct 22 · 08:45K. Slawinski—97100M. Oracz—1111123
LOct 20 · 13:30K. Slawinski—111011111M. Oracz—13129133
WOct 20 · 07:30K. Slawinski—1111113M. Oracz—9870
WSep 17 · 14:45K. Slawinski—1111113M. Oracz—5870
WSep 17 · 11:05K. Slawinski—1111183M. Oracz—86160
LJul 10 · 14:45K. Slawinski—1181091M. Oracz—61112113
WJul 1 · 13:30K. Slawinski—1111113M. Oracz—7770
K. Slawinski10
WSep 6 · 15:30K. Slawinski1.70911911113R. Piechnik2.0011211392WSep 6 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.3011117113R. Wojcik3.10891191LSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113WSep 6 · 11:30K. Slawinski1.73511712113W. Wojtaszczyk2.00119111092WSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:30R. Piechnik2.6011811492K. Slawinski1.41511911113WSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760WSep 6 · 07:10K. Slawinski1.47101111133W. Wojtaszczyk2.451265111LSep 6 · 06:20R. Wojcik2.701211611123K. Slawinski1.401013118102WSep 3 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.70512117123P. Polok1.951110811102
M. Oracz10
LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760WSep 6 · 07:30R. Wojcik2.4510411101M. Oracz1.4912116123WSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113LAug 30 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak1.661111113M. Oracz2.056690
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