TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047806
Played Aug 30Finished
Patryk Jedrzejak
Home
1.66
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116119––––
Michal Oracz
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
116116119––––
H2H Patryk Jedrzejak 15–30 Michal Oracz Patryk Jedrzejak has won 15 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Jedrzejak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-30 in 45
Oracz
Wrong
gap of 15 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejak 1550 vs Oracz 1419
Jedrzejak
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejak 80% vs Oracz 40%
Jedrzejak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejak 80% vs Oracz 40%
Jedrzejak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejak +2 · Oracz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jedrzejak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejak 1.66 / Oracz 2.05
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+2.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13047806
Jedrzejak1.66
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 165 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it98% 94 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it86% 124 of 144
Oracz2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog62% won 26 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJedrzejak2wins
AwayOracz8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJedrzejakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOracz87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejak2Oracz8n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S2Jedrzejak2Oracz8n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S3Jedrzejak4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Jedrzejak3Oracz3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJedrzejakOraczJ − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.038.5−4.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejakOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 528 vs 320 / 52167.8%61.4%358 / 528 vs 320 / 521Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakJedrzejak 1.66/Oracz 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jedrzejak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:45P. Jedrzejak—81111113M. Oracz—116871
LAug 29 · 15:05P. Jedrzejak—5990M. Oracz—1111113
LAug 29 · 06:45P. Jedrzejak—85120M. Oracz—1111143
LAug 23 · 13:10P. Jedrzejak—111041172M. Oracz—912116113
WAug 23 · 05:30P. Jedrzejak—11811133M. Oracz—7116111
LAug 15 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak—11590M. Oracz—1311113
LAug 15 · 06:45P. Jedrzejak—5131081M. Oracz—111112113
LMay 1 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak—412140M. Oracz—1114163
LMay 1 · 07:55P. Jedrzejak—7811101M. Oracz—11113123
LApr 26 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak—991191M. Oracz—11119113
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
M. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760WSep 6 · 07:30R. Wojcik2.4510411101M. Oracz1.4912116123WSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113
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