TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082554
Played Sep 6Finished
Piotr Gumulinski
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111210116116––
Patryk Jedrzejak
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Patryk Jedrzejak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Patryk Jedrzejak at 60.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 1–1 Patryk Jedrzejak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jedrzejak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1478 vs Jedrzejak 1497
Jedrzejak
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 100% vs Jedrzejak 40%
Gumulinski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 90% vs Jedrzejak 50%
Gumulinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski +5 · Jedrzejak -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejak) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejak form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 2.63 / Jedrzejak 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13082554
Gumulinski2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog56% won 141 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back43% 60 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back19% 12 of 65
Jedrzejak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 171 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 99 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it86% 131 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGumulinski1wins
AwayJedrzejak1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricGumulinskiJedrzejakG − JBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.040.0−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiJedrzejakBasisWin rate · lifetime1021 / 1813 vs 362 / 53556.3%67.7%1021 / 1813 vs 362 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakGumulinski 2.63/Jedrzejak 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJan 24 · 06:30P. Gumulinski—111154123P. Jedrzejak—951111102
LApr 28 · 23:30P. Gumulinski—81090P. Jedrzejak—1112113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113WSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113WSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191WSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281LSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940WSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940LSep 5 · 13:55Z. Sobkow2.63111012113P. Jedrzejak1.449121061
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