TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082616
Played Sep 5Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
2.37
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811117117115
Jakub Jesiek
Away
1.52
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Jesiek to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
811811117117115
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 5–6 Jakub Jesiek Rafal Idaczyk has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Jesiek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1289 vs Jesiek 1345
Jesiek
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 20% vs Jesiek 40%
Jesiek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 20% vs Jesiek 50%
Jesiek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk -4 · Jesiek +2
Idaczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Jesiek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jesiek form (40%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 2.37 / Jesiek 1.52
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Jesiek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13082616
Idaczyk2.37
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 98 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back13% 21 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 106
Jesiek1.52
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 95 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk5wins
AwayJesiek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk100%3 of 3
AwayJesiek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk3Jesiek7n = 10Jesiek took 7 of 10
S2Idaczyk6Jesiek4n = 10Idaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Idaczyk7Jesiek3n = 10Idaczyk took 7 of 10
S4Idaczyk2Jesiek3n = 5Jesiek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykJesiekI − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.135.9−3.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykJesiekBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 956 vs 269 / 51149%52.6%468 / 956 vs 269 / 511Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JesiekIdaczyk 2.37/Jesiek 1.52
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Jesiek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 08:45R. Idaczyk—81113133J. Jesiek—11811111
WAug 19 · 08:00R. Idaczyk—1111123J. Jesiek—98100
WJun 21 · 12:40R. Idaczyk—312119133J. Jesiek—1110911112
WJun 21 · 06:30R. Idaczyk—1111113J. Jesiek—7880
LMay 3 · 13:55R. Idaczyk—531161J. Jesiek—11114113
LMay 3 · 07:55R. Idaczyk—51251122J. Jesiek—1110119113
LApr 25 · 04:00R. Idaczyk—5970J. Jesiek—1111113
LApr 11 · 15:30R. Idaczyk—6740J. Jesiek—1111113
LApr 11 · 09:30R. Idaczyk—871141J. Jesiek—11117113
WJan 17 · 18:05R. Idaczyk—1111113J. Jesiek—7770
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113WSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113WSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130LSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111WSep 5 · 16:20R. Idaczyk2.01121111113R. Piechnik1.69147981LSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123LSep 5 · 12:45M. Lach1.301111113R. Idaczyk3.103720LSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113LSep 5 · 10:20R. Idaczyk2.80123531M. Lach1.37101111113
J. Jesiek10
WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113LSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670WSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113LSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
Upcoming Matches
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