TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074510
Played Sep 4Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.68
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012112811118115
Marian Lebek
Away
2.03
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:00 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
1012112811118115
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 26–23 Marian Lebek Marian Lebek has won 23 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:00What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-23 in 49
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 3 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1530 vs Lebek 1500
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 60% vs Lebek 100%
Lebek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 80% vs Lebek 60%
Hetnar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +2 · Lebek +5
Lebek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hetnar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.68 / Lebek 2.03
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Hetnar)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13074510
Hetnar1.68
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 256 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it98% 143 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 211 of 248
Lebek2.03
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 107 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar5wins
AwayLebek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar50%3 of 6
AwayLebek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar6Lebek4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S2Hetnar4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Hetnar6Lebek4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S4Hetnar3Lebek5n = 8Lebek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarLebekH − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.0+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime725 / 1173 vs 848 / 146361.8%58%725 / 1173 vs 848 / 1463Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.68/Lebek 2.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 08:10K. Hetnar—1111113M. Lebek—6890
WJul 2 · 08:45K. Hetnar—71111113M. Lebek—116881
LJun 26 · 04:00K. Hetnar—1110991M. Lebek—61211113
LJun 10 · 08:00K. Hetnar—1191171M. Lebek—41113113
LMar 31 · 04:00K. Hetnar—10111081M. Lebek—12712113
WMar 26 · 20:35K. Hetnar—981113113M. Lebek—111161182
WMar 25 · 09:20K. Hetnar—1111113M. Lebek—9750
LMar 4 · 07:25K. Hetnar—118991M. Lebek—51111113
WMar 3 · 07:25K. Hetnar—151411113M. Lebek—1316471
LFeb 27 · 08:10K. Hetnar—771191M. Lebek—11114113
K. Hetnar10
LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861LSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130WSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113WSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113LSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113WSep 3 · 20:00K. Hetnar1.83411911113S. Szostok1.8611511872
M. Lebek10
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113
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