TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074428
Played Sep 4Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
3.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188111012119115
Marian Lebek
Away
1.23
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:49 and never touched — 82.5% is still 82.5%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
82.5%
82.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1188111012119115
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 6–28 Marian Lebek Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 6 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.23 (75%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-28 in 34
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 22 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1274 vs Lebek 1500
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Lebek 100%
Lebek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 50% vs Lebek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -1 · Lebek +5
Lebek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (81%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 3.60 / Lebek 1.23
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Lebek)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13074428
Ruszkiewicz3.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 131 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Lebek1.23
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 245 of 396
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it81% 210 of 258
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz4wins
AwayLebek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz33.3%1 of 3
AwayLebek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruszkiewicz4Lebek5n = 9Lebek took 5 of 9
S4Ruszkiewicz0Lebek5n = 5Lebek took 5 of 5
S5Ruszkiewicz2Lebek1n = 3Ruszkiewicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczLebekR − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.737.1−5.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 873 vs 848 / 146335.5%58%310 / 873 vs 848 / 1463Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekRuszkiewicz 3.60/Lebek 1.23
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
80.8%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz—411116123M. Lebek—119711102
WAug 16 · 11:50A. Ruszkiewicz—911124113M. Lebek—119101112
WAug 6 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz—1115113M. Lebek—51370
WJul 19 · 14:20A. Ruszkiewicz—9113M. Lebek—1142
LJul 19 · 08:10A. Ruszkiewicz—115117102M. Lebek—811911123
LMar 24 · 05:00A. Ruszkiewicz—9380M. Lebek—1111113
LFeb 27 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz—1511411M. Lebek—131311113
LFeb 24 · 05:00A. Ruszkiewicz—6930M. Lebek—1111113
LFeb 17 · 05:00A. Ruszkiewicz—4116101M. Lebek—11911123
LFeb 10 · 05:00A. Ruszkiewicz—7990M. Lebek—1111113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113WSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151LSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
M. Lebek10
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113
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