TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075497
Played Sep 4Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
3.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116911118––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:08 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118116911118––
H2H Patryk Mecik 8–13 Marian Lebek Patryk Mecik has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (70%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1260 vs Lebek 1455
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 20% vs Lebek 40%
Lebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 50% vs Lebek 70%
Lebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -4 · Lebek -1
Mecik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 3.10 / Lebek 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Lebek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13075497
Mecik3.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 100 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Lebek1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 251 of 407
Up 2–0, closes it96% 159 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it82% 216 of 265
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik5wins
AwayLebek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik100%3 of 3
AwayLebek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Mecik4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Mecik5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S4Mecik6Lebek1n = 7Mecik took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikLebekM − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.235.0−1.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 809 vs 849 / 146140.2%58.1%325 / 809 vs 849 / 1461Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekMecik 3.10/Lebek 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik—11119113M. Lebek—861181
LJul 16 · 03:35P. Mecik—6630M. Lebek—1111113
WJun 12 · 07:10P. Mecik—81111113M. Lebek—115771
LMar 26 · 05:25P. Mecik—9660M. Lebek—1111113
LDec 24 · 15:20P. Mecik—6111161M. Lebek—11136113
WDec 24 · 07:20P. Mecik—11411113M. Lebek—911681
LOct 24 · 14:45P. Mecik—6880M. Lebek—1111113
WOct 24 · 11:05P. Mecik—81111113M. Lebek—116881
WOct 13 · 11:55P. Mecik—11115113M. Lebek—881181
LOct 13 · 05:55P. Mecik—67111162M. Lebek—111166113
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113LAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850WAug 31 · 14:20O. Jadach1.3541590P. Mecik2.901117113WAug 31 · 13:30P. Mecik1.751111113W. Buczynski1.957760
M. Lebek10
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852LSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113
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