TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052074
Played Aug 31Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:08 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Mecik to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
117117116––––
H2H Patryk Mecik 27–15 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 15 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Mecik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-15 in 42
Mecik
Correct
gap of 12 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1290 vs Buczynski 1284
Mecik
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 60% vs Buczynski 40%
Mecik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 50% vs Buczynski 30%
Mecik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik +3 · Buczynski -1
Mecik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mecik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 1.75 / Buczynski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mecik)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13052074
Mecik1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 32 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Buczynski1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 179 of 500
Down 0–1, comes back21% 62 of 298
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik75%3 of 4
AwayBuczynski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S2Mecik5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Mecik4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S4Mecik4Buczynski2n = 6Mecik took 4 of 6
S5Mecik2Buczynski1n = 3Mecik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikBuczynskiM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.9−1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 811 vs 434 / 112940.2%38.4%326 / 811 vs 434 / 1129Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MecikMecik 1.75/Buczynski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mecik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:30P. Mecik—1398161W. Buczynski—111111183
WDec 31 · 14:30P. Mecik—1411113W. Buczynski—12550
LDec 31 · 08:30P. Mecik—41160W. Buczynski—1113113
LNov 28 · 13:45P. Mecik—74100W. Buczynski—1111123
WNov 28 · 11:20P. Mecik—1112123W. Buczynski—710100
WOct 31 · 17:20P. Mecik—571111113W. Buczynski—11116982
WOct 31 · 07:50P. Mecik—11611113W. Buczynski—811961
LOct 8 · 14:20P. Mecik—101171142W. Buczynski—128117113
LOct 8 · 06:20P. Mecik—311671W. Buczynski—11511113
WOct 1 · 12:00P. Mecik—1211211113W. Buczynski—14611672
P. Mecik10
WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113LAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850
W. Buczynski10
WSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek1.7611690W. Buczynski1.901311113WSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123WSep 5 · 13:10R. Piechnik1.757990W. Buczynski1.951111113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Lach1.24111091182W. Buczynski3.80512118113WSep 5 · 10:40K. Juszczyk1.407750W. Buczynski2.651111113WSep 5 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9512441182W. Buczynski1.751011118113WSep 5 · 07:55R. Idaczyk1.7561181192W. Buczynski1.95116115113LSep 5 · 07:10M. Lach1.47711115143W. Buczynski2.45113511122WSep 5 · 05:30R. Piechnik—8790W. Buczynski—1111113
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