TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090698
Played Sep 7Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811118119––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.28
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:17 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
118811118119––
H2H Patryk Mecik 11–15 Sebastian Szostok Patryk Mecik has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1242 vs Szostok 1465
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 223 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 20% vs Szostok 60%
Szostok
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 20% vs Szostok 70%
Szostok
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -4 · Szostok +1
Mecik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 3.40 / Szostok 1.28
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Szostok)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13090698
Mecik3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 100 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Szostok1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 325 of 508
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it78% 210 of 269
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik4wins
AwaySzostok6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik60%3 of 5
AwaySzostok80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S2Mecik3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S3Mecik5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S4Mecik4Szostok3n = 7Mecik took 4 of 7
S5Mecik1Szostok2n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikSzostokM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.639.7−2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 811 vs 936 / 157940.1%59.3%325 / 811 vs 936 / 1579Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.140.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokMecik 3.40/Szostok 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.8%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 14 · 14:40P. Mecik—121411113S. Szostok—1016561
LJun 30 · 19:20P. Mecik—114471S. Szostok—91111113
WApr 3 · 08:45P. Mecik—1112113S. Szostok—61090
LMar 16 · 07:20P. Mecik—79111172S. Szostok—111197113
LDec 19 · 14:10P. Mecik—71060S. Szostok—1112113
WDec 19 · 06:30P. Mecik—11511113S. Szostok—411791
LDec 3 · 13:45P. Mecik—69110S. Szostok—1111133
LDec 3 · 11:20P. Mecik—121217592S. Szostok—10141511113
LNov 28 · 12:30P. Mecik—1011841S. Szostok—12511113
WNov 28 · 08:10P. Mecik—711811113S. Szostok—11911852
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113LAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850WAug 31 · 14:20O. Jadach1.3541590P. Mecik2.901117113
S. Szostok10
WSep 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.8511891142S. Szostok1.85511118113LSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351LSep 5 · 11:50S. Szostok1.837640J. Wieczerzak1.831111113WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok2.109911101W. Wojtaszczyk1.6711115123WSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113WSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113WSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113
Upcoming Matches
P. Mecik
S. Szostok1 of 4 neutral
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