TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090470
Played Sep 7Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811911118411
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
115811911118411
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 13–15 Sebastian Szostok Rafal Skotniczny has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Szostok
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1419 vs Szostok 1465
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 100% vs Szostok 60%
Skotniczny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 60% vs Szostok 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny +5 · Szostok -1
Skotniczny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skotniczny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotniczny form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.85 / Szostok 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skotniczny)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13090470
Skotniczny1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Szostok1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny6wins
AwaySzostok4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny57.1%4 of 7
AwaySzostok33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny7Szostok3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S2Skotniczny6Szostok4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S3Skotniczny7Szostok3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S4Skotniczny4Szostok2n = 6Skotniczny took 4 of 6
S5Skotniczny1Szostok3n = 4Szostok took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznySzostokSkotniczny − SzostokBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.734.3+5.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznySzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime577 / 1005 vs 936 / 157957.4%59.3%577 / 1005 vs 936 / 1579Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.85/Szostok 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny—11891142S. Szostok—511118113
WJul 14 · 06:05R. Skotniczny—1111113S. Szostok—5870
WJul 10 · 15:05R. Skotniczny—1261111113S. Szostok—14115952
WJul 10 · 09:05R. Skotniczny—1311113S. Szostok—11660
WMay 14 · 13:30R. Skotniczny—1111113S. Szostok—5750
LMay 14 · 07:30R. Skotniczny—119111082S. Szostok—911712113
WMar 31 · 13:55R. Skotniczny—91111113S. Szostok—116871
WMar 31 · 07:55R. Skotniczny—1711113S. Szostok—15840
LFeb 12 · 13:45R. Skotniczny—51171162S. Szostok—117113113
LFeb 12 · 11:20R. Skotniczny—1111551S. Szostok—61311113
R. Skotniczny10
LSep 7 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.91111111113R. Skotniczny1.77139981WSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670WSep 4 · 13:55R. Skotniczny1.251111108113P. Slosarczyk3.7578121132WSep 4 · 12:40R. Skotniczny1.4412113113R. Piechnik2.631091181WSep 4 · 11:25R. Skotniczny1.731611113P. Kurek2.0014740WSep 4 · 10:10Z. Sobkow1.90115941R. Skotniczny1.8091111113LSep 4 · 09:25R. Skotniczny2.20711126132J. Pruszkowski1.611151011153LSep 4 · 07:45R. Skotniczny1.91712100Z. Sobkow1.801114123LSep 4 · 06:30R. Skotniczny1.4045111252R. Piechnik2.751111510113LSep 4 · 05:15R. Skotniczny1.61711111182P. Kurek2.20111387113
S. Szostok10
LSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891LSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351LSep 5 · 11:50S. Szostok1.837640J. Wieczerzak1.831111113WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok2.109911101W. Wojtaszczyk1.6711115123WSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113WSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113WSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113
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