TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070640
Played Sep 4Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111512106111315
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Skotniczny above · Jakub Pruszkowski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 101 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 19–27 Jakub Pruszkowski Rafal Skotniczny has won 19 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:39What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-27 in 46
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 8 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1435 vs Pruszkowski 1422
Skotniczny
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 40% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 40% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny -3 · Pruszkowski +2
Skotniczny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 2.20 / Pruszkowski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13070640
Skotniczny2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 67 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Pruszkowski1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 466 of 718
Up 2–0, closes it96% 241 of 252
Up 1–0, closes it83% 361 of 435
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny2wins
AwayPruszkowski8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny66.7%2 of 3
AwayPruszkowski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S2Skotniczny7Pruszkowski3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S3Skotniczny2Pruszkowski8n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S4Skotniczny1Pruszkowski8n = 9Pruszkowski took 8 of 9
S5Skotniczny2Pruszkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyPruszkowskiS − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.344.0−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1005 vs 1127 / 178357.3%63.2%576 / 1005 vs 1127 / 1783Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiSkotniczny 2.20/Pruszkowski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 17 · 15:05R. Skotniczny—77110J. Pruszkowski—1111133
LJul 17 · 09:05R. Skotniczny—8121281J. Pruszkowski—111014113
WJul 14 · 03:50R. Skotniczny—1110911113J. Pruszkowski—91211872
LJul 1 · 13:30R. Skotniczny—991281J. Pruszkowski—111110113
LJul 1 · 07:30R. Skotniczny—811991J. Pruszkowski—11511113
LJun 3 · 12:45R. Skotniczny—101211772J. Pruszkowski—1210611113
LJun 3 · 10:20R. Skotniczny—5111181J. Pruszkowski—11613113
LMay 7 · 13:30R. Skotniczny—12119772J. Pruszkowski—1051111113
LMay 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny—611451J. Pruszkowski—11811113
WMar 19 · 14:55R. Skotniczny—151155113J. Pruszkowski—138111182
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 7 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.109880R. Skotniczny1.651111113LSep 7 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.91111111113R. Skotniczny1.77139981LSep 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.8511891142S. Szostok1.85511118113WSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670WSep 4 · 13:55R. Skotniczny1.251111108113P. Slosarczyk3.7578121132WSep 4 · 12:40R. Skotniczny1.4412113113R. Piechnik2.631091181WSep 4 · 11:25R. Skotniczny1.731611113P. Kurek2.0014740WSep 4 · 10:10Z. Sobkow1.90115941R. Skotniczny1.8091111113LSep 4 · 07:45R. Skotniczny1.91712100Z. Sobkow1.801114123LSep 4 · 06:30R. Skotniczny1.4045111252R. Piechnik2.751111510113
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113LSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101LSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153
Upcoming Matches
R. Skotniczny
J. Pruszkowski1 of 1 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.