TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090702
Played Sep 7Finished
Grzegorz Wichowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113119119118––
Rafal Skotniczny
Away
1.77
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:17 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
1113119119118––
H2H Grzegorz Wichowski 42–51 Rafal Skotniczny Grzegorz Wichowski has won 42 of their 93 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Skotniczny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-51 in 93
Skotniczny
Wrong
gap of 9 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wichowski 1440 vs Skotniczny 1431
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wichowski 60% vs Skotniczny 80%
Skotniczny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wichowski 60% vs Skotniczny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wichowski +2 · Skotniczny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skotniczny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotniczny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWichowski 1.91 / Skotniczny 1.77
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skotniczny)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13090702
Wichowski1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back38% 16 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Skotniczny1.77
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 212 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it95% 113 of 119
Up 1–0, closes it83% 164 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWichowski5wins
AwaySkotniczny5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWichowski66.7%4 of 6
AwaySkotniczny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wichowski6Skotniczny4n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S2Wichowski3Skotniczny7n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S3Wichowski6Skotniczny4n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S4Wichowski6Skotniczny3n = 9Wichowski took 6 of 9
S5Wichowski3Skotniczny4n = 7Skotniczny took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWichowskiSkotnicznyW − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.643.8+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWichowskiSkotnicznyBasisWin rate · lifetime566 / 923 vs 577 / 100461.3%57.5%566 / 923 vs 577 / 1004Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznyWichowski 1.91/Skotniczny 1.77
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 12:20G. Wichowski—1212143R. Skotniczny—1010120
LAug 3 · 08:20G. Wichowski—11861362R. Skotniczny—6111111113
LJul 17 · 12:20G. Wichowski—76111572R. Skotniczny—1111413113
WJul 17 · 08:20G. Wichowski—139811133R. Skotniczny—1111114112
LJul 13 · 16:20G. Wichowski—111158102R. Skotniczny—661111123
WJul 13 · 06:45G. Wichowski—119811113R. Skotniczny—61111962
LJun 15 · 15:30G. Wichowski—7811141R. Skotniczny—11113163
WJun 15 · 09:30G. Wichowski—11611113R. Skotniczny—911871
WJun 12 · 14:45G. Wichowski—712115113R. Skotniczny—111081142
LJun 12 · 11:05G. Wichowski—69111172R. Skotniczny—111179113
G. Wichowski10
WSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113WSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741LSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113WSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113WSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120LSep 4 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.751011781S. Szostok1.9512511113
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 7 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.109880R. Skotniczny1.651111113LSep 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.8511891142S. Szostok1.85511118113WSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670WSep 4 · 13:55R. Skotniczny1.251111108113P. Slosarczyk3.7578121132WSep 4 · 12:40R. Skotniczny1.4412113113R. Piechnik2.631091181WSep 4 · 11:25R. Skotniczny1.731611113P. Kurek2.0014740WSep 4 · 10:10Z. Sobkow1.90115941R. Skotniczny1.8091111113LSep 4 · 09:25R. Skotniczny2.20711126132J. Pruszkowski1.611151011153LSep 4 · 07:45R. Skotniczny1.91712100Z. Sobkow1.801114123LSep 4 · 06:30R. Skotniczny1.4045111252R. Piechnik2.751111510113
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