TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076926
Played Sep 4Finished
Rafal Niemiec
Home
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411411––––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
911411411––––
H2H Rafal Niemiec 1–4 Grzegorz Wichowski Rafal Niemiec has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Wichowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Wichowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niemiec 1340 vs Wichowski 1428
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niemiec 60% vs Wichowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niemiec 40% vs Wichowski 60%
Wichowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Niemiec -1 · Wichowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niemiec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiemiec 2.40 / Wichowski 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 64%
Edge (Wichowski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13076926
Niemiec2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 18 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Wichowski1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 251 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it98% 124 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it83% 188 of 227
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeNiemiec1wins
AwayWichowski4wins
Wichowski leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiemiecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWichowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niemiec2Wichowski3n = 5Wichowski took 3 of 5
S2Niemiec1Wichowski4n = 5Wichowski took 4 of 5
S3Niemiec1Wichowski4n = 5Wichowski took 4 of 5
S4Niemiec1Wichowski2n = 3Wichowski took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricNiemiecWichowskiN − WBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match32.039.4−7.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiemiecWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 248 vs 571 / 92761.7%61.6%153 / 248 vs 571 / 927Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiNiemiec 2.40/Wichowski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 4 · 10:20R. Niemiec—111112113G. Wichowski—1351081
LAug 17 · 15:05R. Niemiec—41090G. Wichowski—1112113
LAug 17 · 09:05R. Niemiec—111414101G. Wichowski—91616123
LJul 24 · 16:20R. Niemiec—1144101G. Wichowski—71111123
LJul 24 · 06:45R. Niemiec—3740G. Wichowski—1111113
R. Niemiec10
LSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113LSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113WSep 4 · 15:30R. Niemiec2.2512611113O. Jadach1.571011471LSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 11:30R. Niemiec2.25119791S. Szostok1.5531111113WSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Jadach1.6011841192R. Niemiec2.10911116113LSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113
G. Wichowski10
WSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113WSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741LSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113WSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120LSep 4 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.751011781S. Szostok1.9512511113WSep 4 · 06:45O. Jadach1.808770G. Wichowski1.901111113
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