TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077472
Played Sep 4Finished
Rafal Niemiec
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210611114117––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Niemiec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1210611114117––
H2H Rafal Niemiec 1–2 Oskar Jadach Rafal Niemiec has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:17What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niemiec 1318 vs Jadach 1439
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niemiec 40% vs Jadach 60%
Jadach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niemiec 30% vs Jadach 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Niemiec -3 · Jadach +1
Niemiec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiemiec 2.25 / Jadach 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Jadach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077472
Niemiec2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 18 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Jadach1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 303 of 456
Up 2–0, closes it94% 141 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it85% 207 of 244
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNiemiec1wins
AwayJadach2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJadach leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiemiecn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayJadach66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niemiec0Jadach3n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
S2Niemiec2Jadach1n = 3Niemiec took 2 of 3
S3Niemiec2Jadach1n = 3Niemiec took 2 of 3
S4Niemiec0Jadach3n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricNiemiecJadachN − JBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match36.340.3−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiemiecJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 250 vs 790 / 130761.2%60.4%153 / 250 vs 790 / 1307Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachNiemiec 2.25/Jadach 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Niemiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 4 · 09:30R. Niemiec—911116113O. Jadach—11841192
LJul 24 · 13:55R. Niemiec—871161O. Jadach—11118113
LJul 24 · 07:55R. Niemiec—411861O. Jadach—11411113
R. Niemiec10
LSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113LSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113LSep 4 · 11:30R. Niemiec2.25119791S. Szostok1.5531111113WSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Jadach1.6011841192R. Niemiec2.10911116113LSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782LSep 4 · 09:30O. Jadach1.6011841192R. Niemiec2.10911116113
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