TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090081
Played Sep 7Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115711611114112
Grzegorz Marud
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:22 and never touched — 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
115711611114112
H2H Oskar Jadach 97–27 Grzegorz Marud Grzegorz Marud has won 27 of their 124 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Jadach beat Marud 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
97-27 in 124
Jadach
Correct
gap of 70 in 124, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1456 vs Marud 1364
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 60% vs Marud 40%
Jadach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 70% vs Marud 30%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +1 · Marud +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Jadach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.42 / Marud 2.60
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Jadach)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13090081
Jadach1.42
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 305 of 461
Up 2–0, closes it94% 142 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it85% 208 of 246
Marud2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 131 of 316
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach6wins
AwayMarud4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach100%5 of 5
AwayMarud80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach5Marud5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadach3Marud7n = 10Marud took 7 of 10
S3Jadach6Marud4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Jadach5Marud1n = 6Jadach took 5 of 6
S5Jadach2Marud1n = 3Jadach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachMarudJ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.535.3+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime796 / 1316 vs 636 / 135860.5%46.8%796 / 1316 vs 636 / 1358Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.42/Marud 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 18:20O. Jadach—11711113G. Marud—411731
WSep 2 · 24:35O. Jadach—1111113G. Marud—9740
LSep 1 · 18:30O. Jadach—75111162G. Marud—111198113
LFeb 17 · 03:20O. Jadach—4870G. Marud—1111113
LFeb 16 · 19:20O. Jadach—671181G. Marud—11118113
WFeb 16 · 03:20O. Jadach—1231114113G. Marud—141151272
WFeb 15 · 19:20O. Jadach—1111113G. Marud—8960
WJan 6 · 03:20O. Jadach—126811113G. Marud—101111462
LJan 5 · 19:20O. Jadach—61170G. Marud—1113113
WJan 5 · 03:20O. Jadach—11112113G. Marud—691191
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113WSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113
G. Marud10
WSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113WSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 7 · 24:20G. Marud2.0111711382L. Oracz1.73711711113LSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113LSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541WSep 6 · 20:20L. Oracz1.70125131022G. Marud1.9910111112113LSep 6 · 19:30G. Marud1.38710111162M. Sikon2.75111265113LSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113LSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113
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