TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089050
Played Sep 6Finished
Mariusz Baron
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114811811911––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
114811811911––
H2H Mariusz Baron 37–65 Oskar Jadach Mariusz Baron has won 37 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-65 in 102
Jadach
Correct
gap of 28 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baron 1347 vs Jadach 1451
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baron 40% vs Jadach 80%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baron 50% vs Jadach 70%
Jadach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baron +1 · Jadach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaron 2.50 / Jadach 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Jadach)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13089050
Baron2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 191 of 481
Down 0–1, comes back25% 65 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 136
Jadach1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 305 of 461
Up 2–0, closes it94% 142 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it85% 208 of 246
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaron2wins
AwayJadach8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaron66.7%2 of 3
AwayJadach100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baron3Jadach7n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S2Baron7Jadach3n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S3Baron3Jadach7n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Baron1Jadach4n = 5Jadach took 4 of 5
S5Baron0Jadach3n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBaronJadachB − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.735.3−0.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaronJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime871 / 1800 vs 794 / 131348.4%60.5%871 / 1800 vs 794 / 1313Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachBaron 2.50/Jadach 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 11:30M. Baron—7860O. Jadach—1111113
LAug 31 · 07:10M. Baron—81080O. Jadach—1112113
LAug 4 · 13:55M. Baron—9580O. Jadach—1111113
LAug 4 · 07:55M. Baron—121110792O. Jadach—1041211113
LMay 15 · 13:30M. Baron—1111111082O. Jadach—134012113
LMay 15 · 07:30M. Baron—10121141O. Jadach—121013113
LMar 31 · 03:05M. Baron—1211761O. Jadach—14211113
WMar 30 · 21:05M. Baron—1111113O. Jadach—3390
LMar 30 · 03:05M. Baron—71131352O. Jadach—1171111113
WMar 29 · 21:05M. Baron—1111113O. Jadach—5460
M. Baron10
LSep 7 · 04:20M. Baron2.909580L. Oracz1.351111113LSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113WSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652WSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761WSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541LSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Oracz1.4712125882M. Baron2.4510101111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Baron1.801171191M. Sikon1.8513119113LSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113WSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113
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