TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082252
Played Sep 6Finished
Mariusz Baron
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113711119911––
Mateusz Sikon
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1113711119911––
H2H Mariusz Baron 3–3 Mateusz Sikon Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Baron
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baron 1325 vs Sikon 1376
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baron 40% vs Sikon 100%
Sikon
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baron 50% vs Sikon 80%
Sikon
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baron -3 · Sikon +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaron 1.80 / Sikon 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sikon)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13082252
Baron1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 219 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it83% 105 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it70% 158 of 226
Sikon1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 82 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBaron3wins
AwaySikon3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaron66.7%2 of 3
AwaySikon66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baron3Sikon3n = 6split evenly
S2Baron2Sikon4n = 6Sikon took 4 of 6
S3Baron4Sikon2n = 6Baron took 4 of 6
S4Baron1Sikon4n = 5Sikon took 4 of 5
S5Baron2Sikon1n = 3Baron took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBaronSikonB − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.038.5+0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaronSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime869 / 1796 vs 134 / 35548.4%37.8%869 / 1796 vs 134 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonBaron 1.80/Sikon 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 18 · 06:45M. Baron—11911882M. Sikon—811411113
WAug 1 · 05:10M. Baron—1111115113M. Sikon—81371132
LJul 10 · 21:20M. Baron—5650M. Sikon—1111113
WJul 10 · 15:25M. Baron—61111113M. Sikon—117741
LJul 7 · 21:20M. Baron—511981M. Sikon—11811113
WJul 7 · 15:25M. Baron—118119113M. Sikon—91171132
M. Baron10
LSep 7 · 04:20M. Baron2.909580L. Oracz1.351111113LSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113WSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652WSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113WSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541LSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Oracz1.4712125882M. Baron2.4510101111113LSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100
M. Sikon10
LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:30G. Marud1.38710111162M. Sikon2.75111265113WSep 3 · 14:40P. Kurek1.50111161052M. Sikon2.50891112113
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