TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090216
Played Sep 7Finished
Lukasz Oracz
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111171210118––
Mateusz Sikon
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
6111171210118––
H2H Lukasz Oracz 7–3 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Oracz beat Sikon 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (0%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.75 / Sikon 1.98
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Oracz)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13090216
Oracz1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 377 of 595
Up 2–0, closes it97% 200 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it84% 295 of 353
Sikon1.98
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 82 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz7wins
AwaySikon3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz87.5%7 of 8
AwaySikonn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz8Sikon2n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S2Oracz7Sikon3n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Oracz8Sikon2n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczSikonO − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match32.423.9+8.5per matchSweeps71+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime815 / 1472 vs 136 / 36255.4%37.6%815 / 1472 vs 136 / 362Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.75/Sikon 1.98
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz—1111113M. Sikon—5660
LAug 28 · 22:35L. Oracz—491181M. Sikon—11117113
WAug 28 · 15:00L. Oracz—1111113M. Sikon—7460
WAug 27 · 14:20L. Oracz—1111123M. Sikon—96100
WAug 27 · 08:10L. Oracz—1111113M. Sikon—7360
LAug 18 · 03:05L. Oracz—3470M. Sikon—1111113
LAug 12 · 24:10L. Oracz—117711102M. Sikon—411116123
WAug 11 · 20:30L. Oracz—1111113M. Sikon—2440
WJul 17 · 14:40L. Oracz—1111113M. Sikon—3840
WJul 17 · 06:05L. Oracz—1111113M. Sikon—9670
L. Oracz10
WSep 7 · 04:20M. Baron2.909580L. Oracz1.351111113WSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 7 · 24:20G. Marud2.0111711382L. Oracz1.73711711113WSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660WSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670LSep 6 · 20:20L. Oracz1.70125131022G. Marud1.9910111112113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Oracz1.4712125882M. Baron2.4510101111113WSep 6 · 17:30L. Oracz1.371112511113P. Kurek2.7561411662WSep 1 · 17:05R. Niemiec2.25811891L. Oracz1.5511911113
M. Sikon10
LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:30G. Marud1.38710111162M. Sikon2.75111265113WSep 6 · 17:55M. Baron1.801171191M. Sikon1.8513119113WSep 3 · 14:40P. Kurek1.50111161052M. Sikon2.50891112113
Upcoming Matches
L. Oracz
Nothing scheduled
M. Sikon
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