TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089052
Played Sep 6Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611611––––
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
611611611––––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 3–10 Pawel Kurek Mateusz Sikon has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:46What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Kurek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Kurek
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1385 vs Kurek 1396
Kurek
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 80% vs Kurek 60%
Sikon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 80% vs Kurek 50%
Sikon
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -1 · Kurek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.35 / Kurek 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kurek)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13089052
Sikon2.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 82 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 101
Kurek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 199 of 301
Up 2–0, closes it93% 95 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it84% 140 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon3wins
AwayKurek7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon50%2 of 4
AwayKurek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S2Sikon1Kurek9n = 10Kurek took 9 of 10
S3Sikon6Kurek4n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10
S4Sikon5Kurek2n = 7Sikon took 5 of 7
S5Sikon1Kurek4n = 5Kurek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonKurekS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.842.0−4.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 358 vs 375 / 75038%50%136 / 358 vs 375 / 750Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekSikon 2.35/Kurek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.6%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 14:40M. Sikon—891112113P. Kurek—111161052
LSep 3 · 06:05M. Sikon—87111382P. Kurek—1111911113
LJul 31 · 12:40M. Sikon—11311862P. Kurek—311911113
LJul 31 · 06:30M. Sikon—8760P. Kurek—1111113
LJul 29 · 01:00M. Sikon—12970P. Kurek—1411113
LJul 28 · 18:55M. Sikon—9960P. Kurek—1111113
WJul 25 · 13:55M. Sikon—11811113P. Kurek—911891
LJul 25 · 04:10M. Sikon—12414872P. Kurek—10111211113
LJul 15 · 12:40M. Sikon—91141192P. Kurek—117119113
WJul 15 · 06:30M. Sikon—11511113P. Kurek—911971
M. Sikon10
LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:30G. Marud1.38710111162M. Sikon2.75111265113WSep 6 · 17:55M. Baron1.801171191M. Sikon1.8513119113WSep 3 · 14:40P. Kurek1.50111161052M. Sikon2.50891112113
P. Kurek10
LSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113WSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113LSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782LSep 6 · 17:30L. Oracz1.371112511113P. Kurek2.7561411662LSep 3 · 14:40P. Kurek1.50111161052M. Sikon2.50891112113
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