TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089334
Played Sep 6Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111191210611811
Pawel Kurek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
7111191210611811
H2H Oskar Jadach 3–0 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Jadach beat Kurek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1460 vs Kurek 1419
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Kurek 60%
Jadach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 70% vs Kurek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +1 · Kurek +3
Kurek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.60 / Kurek 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jadach)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13089334
Jadach1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 305 of 461
Up 2–0, closes it94% 142 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it85% 208 of 246
Kurek2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 114 of 293
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJadach3wins
AwayKurek0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJadach leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach1Kurek2n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
S2Jadach1Kurek2n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
S3Jadach3Kurek0n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
S4Jadach3Kurek0n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJadachKurekJ − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.035.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1314 vs 377 / 75260.5%50.1%795 / 1314 vs 377 / 752Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.60/Kurek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 17 · 13:10O. Jadach—1071111113P. Kurek—12117782
WMay 17 · 05:30O. Jadach—101111113P. Kurek—126681
WJan 31 · 08:35O. Jadach—11611113P. Kurek—511391
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113WSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113
P. Kurek10
LSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113WSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113WSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113LSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782LSep 6 · 17:30L. Oracz1.371112511113P. Kurek2.7561411662WSep 4 · 14:20R. Piechnik3.5011961182P. Kurek1.28511118113
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