TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090422
Played Sep 7Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11671114161311117
Mateusz Sikon
Away
2.62
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:50 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
107 points played in total.
Set by set
11671114161311117
H2H Oskar Jadach 1–0 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Jadach beat Sikon 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1454 vs Sikon 1320
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 60% vs Sikon 0%
Jadach
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 70% vs Sikon 30%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -1 · Sikon -5
Sikon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jadach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.44 / Sikon 2.62
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jadach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090422
Jadach1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 310 of 467
Up 2–0, closes it94% 143 of 152
Up 1–0, closes it85% 212 of 250
Sikon2.62
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 84 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJadach1wins
AwaySikon0wins
Jadach leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJadachSikonJ − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime797 / 1318 vs 136 / 36460.5%37.4%797 / 1318 vs 136 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.44/Sikon 2.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach—1111113M. Sikon—8580
O. Jadach10
LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113WSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113
M. Sikon10
LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:30G. Marud1.38710111162M. Sikon2.75111265113WSep 6 · 17:55M. Baron1.801171191M. Sikon1.8513119113WSep 3 · 14:40P. Kurek1.50111161052M. Sikon2.50891112113
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