TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088519
Played Sep 6Finished
Grzegorz Marud
Home
1.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111012116115611
Mateusz Sikon
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
7111012116115611
H2H Grzegorz Marud 3–5 Mateusz Sikon Grzegorz Marud has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (67%)
Marud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Sikon
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marud 1381 vs Sikon 1386
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marud 40% vs Sikon 100%
Sikon
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marud 60% vs Sikon 80%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marud -3 · Sikon +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarud 1.38 / Sikon 2.75
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Marud)-3.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13088519
Marud1.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 137 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it86% 82 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it69% 109 of 158
Sikon2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 82 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMarud3wins
AwaySikon5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSikon leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarud75%3 of 4
AwaySikon100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marud4Sikon4n = 8split evenly
S2Marud6Sikon2n = 8Marud took 6 of 8
S3Marud2Sikon6n = 8Sikon took 6 of 8
S4Marud4Sikon4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricMarudSikonM − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match41.038.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarudSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime634 / 1352 vs 135 / 35646.9%37.9%634 / 1352 vs 135 / 356Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudMarud 1.38/Sikon 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.4%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 1 · 24:50G. Marud—111191182M. Sikon—841113113
LAug 31 · 17:30G. Marud—811971M. Sikon—11611113
LAug 4 · 21:45G. Marud—811511102M. Sikon—111118123
WAug 4 · 17:45G. Marud—11118113M. Sikon—581181
WJul 28 · 03:30G. Marud—11118113M. Sikon—741131
WJul 27 · 21:30G. Marud—111312113M. Sikon—5151011
LJul 13 · 23:50G. Marud—8913121M. Sikon—111111143
LJul 13 · 17:55G. Marud—811441M. Sikon—11711113
G. Marud10
WSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113LSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 7 · 24:20G. Marud2.0111711382L. Oracz1.73711711113LSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113LSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541WSep 6 · 20:20L. Oracz1.70125131022G. Marud1.9910111112113LSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113LSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113
M. Sikon10
LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 17:55M. Baron1.801171191M. Sikon1.8513119113WSep 3 · 14:40P. Kurek1.50111161052M. Sikon2.50891112113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.