TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076473
Played Sep 4Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811411116911
Rafal Niemiec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
119811411116911
H2H Oskar Jadach 2–0 Rafal Niemiec Rafal Niemiec has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1441 vs Niemiec 1321
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 20% vs Niemiec 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 50% vs Niemiec 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -3 · Niemiec -1
Jadach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niemiec form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.60 / Niemiec 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Jadach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13076473
Jadach1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 303 of 456
Up 2–0, closes it94% 141 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it85% 207 of 244
Niemiec2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 18 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJadach2wins
AwayNiemiec0wins
Jadach leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJadachNiemiecJ − NBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.030.5+8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachNiemiecBasisWin rate · lifetime787 / 1302 vs 151 / 24560.5%61.6%787 / 1302 vs 151 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.60/Niemiec 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.6%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Niemiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 24 · 13:55O. Jadach—11118113R. Niemiec—871161
WJul 24 · 07:55O. Jadach—11411113R. Niemiec—411861
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113
R. Niemiec10
LSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113LSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113WSep 4 · 15:30R. Niemiec2.2512611113O. Jadach1.571011471LSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113LSep 4 · 11:30R. Niemiec2.25119791S. Szostok1.5531111113WSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113LSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113
Upcoming Matches
O. Jadach
R. Niemiec
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.