TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076469
Played Sep 4Finished
Grzegorz Wichowski
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13115111012811––
Rafal Niemiec
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
13115111012811––
H2H Grzegorz Wichowski 4–0 Rafal Niemiec Rafal Niemiec has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Wichowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wichowski 1436 vs Niemiec 1336
Wichowski
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wichowski 80% vs Niemiec 40%
Wichowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wichowski 50% vs Niemiec 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wichowski +1 · Niemiec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wichowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWichowski 1.50 / Niemiec 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Wichowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13076469
Wichowski1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 251 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it98% 124 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it83% 188 of 227
Niemiec2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 18 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWichowski4wins
AwayNiemiec0wins
Wichowski leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wichowski2Niemiec2n = 4split evenly
S2Wichowski4Niemiec0n = 4Wichowski took 4 of 4
S3Wichowski4Niemiec0n = 4Wichowski took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWichowskiNiemiecW − NBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.228.8+11.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWichowskiNiemiecBasisWin rate · lifetime570 / 925 vs 152 / 24661.6%61.8%570 / 925 vs 152 / 246Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiWichowski 1.50/Niemiec 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.3%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Niemiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 17 · 15:05G. Wichowski—1112113R. Niemiec—41090
WAug 17 · 09:05G. Wichowski—91616123R. Niemiec—111414101
WJul 24 · 16:20G. Wichowski—71111123R. Niemiec—1144101
WJul 24 · 06:45G. Wichowski—1111113R. Niemiec—3740
G. Wichowski10
WSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113WSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741LSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113WSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792WSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120LSep 4 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.751011781S. Szostok1.9512511113WSep 4 · 06:45O. Jadach1.808770G. Wichowski1.901111113
R. Niemiec10
LSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113LSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113WSep 4 · 15:30R. Niemiec2.2512611113O. Jadach1.571011471LSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113LSep 4 · 11:30R. Niemiec2.25119791S. Szostok1.5531111113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Jadach1.6011841192R. Niemiec2.10911116113LSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113
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