TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077397
Played Sep 5Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611411––––
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Wieczerzak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSebastian Szostok above · Jacek Wieczerzak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Szostok 4–2 Jacek Wieczerzak Jacek Wieczerzak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wieczerzak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1447 vs Wieczerzak 1522
Wieczerzak
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 80% vs Wieczerzak 60%
Szostok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 90% vs Wieczerzak 60%
Szostok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +1 · Wieczerzak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wieczerzak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.83 / Wieczerzak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wieczerzak)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13077397
Szostok1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Wieczerzak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSzostok4wins
AwayWieczerzak2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderSzostok leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostokn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayWieczerzak40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok1Wieczerzak5n = 6Wieczerzak took 5 of 6
S2Szostok4Wieczerzak2n = 6Szostok took 4 of 6
S3Szostok3Wieczerzak3n = 6split evenly
S4Szostok5Wieczerzak1n = 6Szostok took 5 of 6
S5Szostok2Wieczerzak1n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSzostokWieczerzakS − WBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match42.041.2+0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime933 / 1574 vs 130 / 24059.3%54.2%933 / 1574 vs 130 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakSzostok 1.83/Wieczerzak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 23 · 11:50S. Szostok—11611113J. Wieczerzak—811881
LAug 23 · 03:50S. Szostok—1051271J. Wieczerzak—121110113
WAug 2 · 13:05S. Szostok—915711113J. Wieczerzak—111311482
LAug 2 · 06:55S. Szostok—61161152J. Wieczerzak—119118113
WJul 11 · 10:10S. Szostok—71111113J. Wieczerzak—113651
WJul 11 · 07:45S. Szostok—611811113J. Wieczerzak—11911782
S. Szostok10
WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok2.109911101W. Wojtaszczyk1.6711115123WSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113WSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113WSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 13:10O. Jadach2.20881191S. Szostok1.5711115113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Niemiec2.25119791S. Szostok1.5531111113WSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz2.5088100S. Szostok1.461111123
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
Upcoming Matches
S. Szostok
J. Wieczerzak
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