TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077245
Played Sep 5Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111151012––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSebastian Szostok above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 56.2%
78 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Szostok 6–9 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Sebastian Szostok has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1436 vs Wojtaszczyk 1405
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 100% vs Wojtaszczyk 20%
Szostok
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 90% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
Szostok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +5 · Wojtaszczyk -1
Szostok
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 2.10 / Wojtaszczyk 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13077245
Szostok2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 78 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back27% 25 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Wojtaszczyk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite70% won 364 of 524
Up 2–0, closes it97% 196 of 203
Up 1–0, closes it84% 284 of 337
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok5wins
AwayWojtaszczyk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok100%3 of 3
AwayWojtaszczyk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok3Wojtaszczyk7n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 7 of 10
S2Szostok5Wojtaszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Szostok6Wojtaszczyk4n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S4Szostok3Wojtaszczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Szostok2Wojtaszczyk1n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokWojtaszczykS − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.935.0+2.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime932 / 1573 vs 530 / 78859.3%67.3%932 / 1573 vs 530 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykSzostok 2.10/Wojtaszczyk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 11:25S. Szostok—117119113W. Wojtaszczyk—61151172
LAug 3 · 07:20S. Szostok—891111102W. Wojtaszczyk—111193123
LJul 22 · 01:00S. Szostok—7911101W. Wojtaszczyk—11113123
WJun 15 · 09:25S. Szostok—1111113W. Wojtaszczyk—8960
LJun 15 · 03:25S. Szostok—81070W. Wojtaszczyk—1112113
LMay 31 · 11:30S. Szostok—711861W. Wojtaszczyk—11311113
WMay 31 · 07:10S. Szostok—1211113W. Wojtaszczyk—10830
WMay 17 · 17:05S. Szostok—91114113W. Wojtaszczyk—1151251
WMay 17 · 08:45S. Szostok—913711113W. Wojtaszczyk—111111842
LMay 10 · 16:20S. Szostok—11760W. Wojtaszczyk—1311113
S. Szostok10
WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351LSep 5 · 11:50S. Szostok1.837640J. Wieczerzak1.831111113WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631WSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113WSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113WSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 13:10O. Jadach2.20881191S. Szostok1.5711115113WSep 4 · 11:30R. Niemiec2.25119791S. Szostok1.5531111113WSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz2.5088100S. Szostok1.461111123
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142WSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123LSep 6 · 11:30K. Slawinski1.73511712113W. Wojtaszczyk2.00119111092WSep 6 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.60108100W. Wojtaszczyk1.441211123LSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101LSep 6 · 07:10K. Slawinski1.47101111133W. Wojtaszczyk2.451265111LSep 6 · 05:30R. Piechnik—1112133W. Wojtaszczyk—410110
Upcoming Matches
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