TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076249
Played Sep 4Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411911115115811
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
411911115115811
H2H Patryk Mecik 1–1 Wojciech Urban Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1267 vs Urban 1393
Urban
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 20% vs Urban 40%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 50% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -1 · Urban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.05 / Urban 1.66
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Urban)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13076249
Mecik2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 104 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 88
Urban1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 179 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it73% 126 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMecik1wins
AwayUrban1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMecikUrbanM − UBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.535.0−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 808 vs 731 / 155640.2%47%325 / 808 vs 731 / 1556Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanMecik 2.05/Urban 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LDec 26 · 16:05P. Mecik—31011101W. Urban—11127123
WDec 26 · 10:05P. Mecik—1311113W. Urban—11980
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113LAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850WAug 31 · 14:20O. Jadach1.3541590P. Mecik2.901117113WAug 31 · 13:30P. Mecik1.751111113W. Buczynski1.957760
W. Urban10
WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371LSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100WSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:50M. Lebek1.75166111152W. Urban1.95181178113WSep 3 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.309117131W. Urban1.5511911153WSep 3 · 02:20O. Sokolowski2.25118911102W. Urban1.55711112123
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