TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075721
Played Sep 4Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111188111181210
Yurij Fomin
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:38 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeYurij Fomin to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
9111188111181210
H2H Wojciech Urban 3–4 Yurij Fomin Wojciech Urban has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1400 vs Fomin 1345
Urban
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 20% vs Fomin 60%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 60% vs Fomin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -1 · Fomin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.83 / Fomin 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urban)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13075721
Urban1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 179 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it73% 126 of 172
Fomin1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
As underdog35% won 55 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeUrban3wins
AwayFomin4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderFomin leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFomin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban2Fomin5n = 7Fomin took 5 of 7
S2Urban5Fomin2n = 7Urban took 5 of 7
S3Urban1Fomin6n = 7Fomin took 6 of 7
S4Urban3Fomin4n = 7Fomin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricUrbanFominU − FBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match42.043.1−1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanFominBasisWin rate · lifetime732 / 1557 vs 258 / 52647%49.1%732 / 1557 vs 258 / 526Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUrban 1.83/Fomin 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban—911811123Y. Fomin—118118102
LAug 26 · 03:35W. Urban—811891Y. Fomin—11811113
WAug 20 · 24:25W. Urban—118711113Y. Fomin—41111792
LAug 14 · 08:45W. Urban—11146111Y. Fomin—131211133
LJun 25 · 06:00W. Urban—1161281Y. Fomin—51114113
WJun 5 · 05:35W. Urban—121211113Y. Fomin—1410771
LFeb 13 · 08:35W. Urban—612971Y. Fomin—111011113
W. Urban10
WSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371LSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100WSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:50M. Lebek1.75166111152W. Urban1.95181178113WSep 3 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.309117131W. Urban1.5511911153WSep 3 · 02:20O. Sokolowski2.25118911102W. Urban1.55711112123
Y. Fomin10
LSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180LSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342WSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113WAug 27 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.5121111113W. Jozala2.35119351WAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692LAug 27 · 05:35Y. Fomin2.3857120M. Lebek1.531111143
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