TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071903
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Paszkiewicz
Home
2.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119115––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
117119115––––
H2H Michal Paszkiewicz 7–13 Wojciech Urban Michal Paszkiewicz has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Urban
Wrong
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paszkiewicz 1388 vs Urban 1398
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paszkiewicz 20% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paszkiewicz 60% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paszkiewicz -3 · Urban -2
Paszkiewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPaszkiewicz 2.40 / Urban 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Urban)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13071903
Paszkiewicz2.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 78 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Urban1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 178 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it96% 72 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 125 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePaszkiewicz5wins
AwayUrban5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaszkiewicz66.7%2 of 3
AwayUrban57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paszkiewicz3Urban7n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S2Paszkiewicz5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S3Paszkiewicz5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S4Paszkiewicz3Urban3n = 6split evenly
S5Paszkiewicz2Urban1n = 3Paszkiewicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPaszkiewiczUrbanP − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.3−1.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaszkiewiczUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 796 vs 729 / 155253.4%47%425 / 796 vs 729 / 1552Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanPaszkiewicz 2.40/Urban 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.7%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz—61450W. Urban—1116113
WSep 2 · 22:50M. Paszkiewicz—611115133W. Urban—115611112
WAug 23 · 19:55M. Paszkiewicz—118811123W. Urban—911115102
LAug 18 · 02:10M. Paszkiewicz—4880W. Urban—1111113
LAug 17 · 23:05M. Paszkiewicz—1133101W. Urban—61111123
WAug 5 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz—71111113W. Urban—116261
LJul 3 · 07:10M. Paszkiewicz—91112982W. Urban—1161011113
LJun 5 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz—8130W. Urban—1111113
WJun 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz—91111113W. Urban—119791
WMay 1 · 05:10M. Paszkiewicz—1111113W. Urban—5680
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
W. Urban10
WSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371LSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100WSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:50M. Lebek1.75166111152W. Urban1.95181178113WSep 3 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.309117131W. Urban1.5511911153WSep 3 · 02:20O. Sokolowski2.25118911102W. Urban1.55711112123
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