TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069244
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911114114911711
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:09 and never touched — 65.0% is still 65.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
65.0%
65.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
911114114911711
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 9–35 Michal Paszkiewicz Jakub Kaczmarek has won 9 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Paszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-35 in 44
Paszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 26 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1340 vs Paszkiewicz 1418
Paszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 60% vs Paszkiewicz 80%
Paszkiewicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Paszkiewicz 60%
Paszkiewicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -1 · Paszkiewicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 2.70 / Paszkiewicz 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13069244
Kaczmarek2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 161 of 492
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 320
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 179
Paszkiewicz1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek3wins
AwayPaszkiewicz7wins
8 of 10 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek40%2 of 5
AwayPaszkiewicz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek5Paszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Kaczmarek3Paszkiewicz7n = 10Paszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S3Kaczmarek6Paszkiewicz4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S4Kaczmarek3Paszkiewicz6n = 9Paszkiewicz took 6 of 9
S5Kaczmarek3Paszkiewicz5n = 8Paszkiewicz took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekPaszkiewiczK − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.047.4−4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 1286 vs 424 / 79236.4%53.5%468 / 1286 vs 424 / 792Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczKaczmarek 2.70/Paszkiewicz 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 06:25J. Kaczmarek—511712102M. Paszkiewicz—1181110123
LJul 17 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek—121114642M. Paszkiewicz—1481211113
LJul 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—118115102M. Paszkiewicz—811811123
WJul 1 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek—119127113M. Paszkiewicz—511101172
LMay 5 · 05:10J. Kaczmarek—111271182M. Paszkiewicz—614117113
LMay 1 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—87111132M. Paszkiewicz—111159113
WApr 29 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek—811126113M. Paszkiewicz—116101172
LApr 24 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek—137541M. Paszkiewicz—111111113
LApr 17 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek—8650M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
WApr 15 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—1710118123M. Paszkiewicz—1512611102
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 7 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek1.806111051R. Niemiec1.9111412113WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Jadach1.2511819113J. Kaczmarek3.757111731WSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach1.301113153J. Kaczmarek3.20811130LSep 4 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.3591131172S. Szostok1.27119119113WSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113WSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz1.601281081J. Kaczmarek2.10101112113
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kaczmarek
Sep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.00K. Hetnar1.22—Sep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00M. Adamus1.73—Sep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.20P. Przewlocki1.61—Sep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—M. Adamus——Sep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek—K. Hetnar——Sep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—A. Ruszkiewicz——Sep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek—R. Skotniczny——Sep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek—M. Cesarz——
M. Paszkiewicz
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.