TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075730
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Paszkiewicz
Home
2.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611811––––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.37
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:37 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
511611811––––
H2H Michal Paszkiewicz 18–30 Marian Lebek Michal Paszkiewicz has won 18 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-30 in 48
Lebek
Correct
gap of 12 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paszkiewicz 1420 vs Lebek 1455
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paszkiewicz 60% vs Lebek 40%
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paszkiewicz 60% vs Lebek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paszkiewicz +3 · Lebek -2
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPaszkiewicz 2.80 / Lebek 1.37
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Lebek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13075730
Paszkiewicz2.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 79 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Lebek1.37
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 251 of 407
Up 2–0, closes it96% 159 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it82% 216 of 265
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePaszkiewicz3wins
AwayLebek7wins
Lebek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaszkiewicz100%3 of 3
AwayLebek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paszkiewicz3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Paszkiewicz4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Paszkiewicz3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S4Paszkiewicz2Lebek3n = 5Lebek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPaszkiewiczLebekP − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.133.8−6.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaszkiewiczLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 801 vs 849 / 146153.6%58.1%429 / 801 vs 849 / 1461Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekPaszkiewicz 2.80/Lebek 1.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz—5680M. Lebek—1111113
LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz—411461M. Lebek—11811113
WSep 3 · 01:10M. Paszkiewicz—13117113M. Lebek—1151141
LAug 7 · 06:00M. Paszkiewicz—2680M. Lebek—1111113
LAug 5 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz—711971M. Lebek—11911113
LJul 31 · 04:50M. Paszkiewicz—5340M. Lebek—1111113
LJul 29 · 06:00M. Paszkiewicz—2670M. Lebek—1111113
WJul 24 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz—111012113M. Lebek—5121031
WJul 17 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz—1111113M. Lebek—7870
LJul 15 · 08:45M. Paszkiewicz—391181M. Lebek—11117113
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
M. Lebek10
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852LSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113
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