TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069383
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Paszkiewicz
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111416511––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
6111416511––––
H2H Michal Paszkiewicz 7–12 Wojciech Urban Michal Paszkiewicz has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Urban
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paszkiewicz 1426 vs Urban 1417
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paszkiewicz 80% vs Urban 100%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paszkiewicz 70% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paszkiewicz +1 · Urban +5
Urban
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPaszkiewicz 2.25 / Urban 1.54
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Urban)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13069383
Paszkiewicz2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 78 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Urban1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 178 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it96% 72 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 125 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePaszkiewicz5wins
AwayUrban5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaszkiewicz50%2 of 4
AwayUrban50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paszkiewicz4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S2Paszkiewicz5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S3Paszkiewicz5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S4Paszkiewicz4Urban3n = 7Paszkiewicz took 4 of 7
S5Paszkiewicz2Urban2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPaszkiewiczUrbanP − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.937.7−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaszkiewiczUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 793 vs 728 / 154953.6%47%425 / 793 vs 728 / 1549Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanPaszkiewicz 2.25/Urban 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 22:50M. Paszkiewicz—611115133W. Urban—115611112
WAug 23 · 19:55M. Paszkiewicz—118811123W. Urban—911115102
LAug 18 · 02:10M. Paszkiewicz—4880W. Urban—1111113
LAug 17 · 23:05M. Paszkiewicz—1133101W. Urban—61111123
WAug 5 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz—71111113W. Urban—116261
LJul 3 · 07:10M. Paszkiewicz—91112982W. Urban—1161011113
LJun 5 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz—8130W. Urban—1111113
WJun 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz—91111113W. Urban—119791
WMay 1 · 05:10M. Paszkiewicz—1111113W. Urban—5680
LMar 27 · 06:30M. Paszkiewicz—12591132W. Urban—1011119113
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
W. Urban10
WSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371LSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100WSep 3 · 04:50M. Lebek1.75166111152W. Urban1.95181178113WSep 3 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.309117131W. Urban1.5511911153WSep 3 · 02:20O. Sokolowski2.25118911102W. Urban1.55711112123
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