TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069537
Played Sep 3Finished
Adrian Burkacki
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151131210––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:18 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
1151131210––––
H2H Adrian Burkacki 4–18 Wojciech Urban Adrian Burkacki has won 4 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:18What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-18 in 22
Urban
Wrong
gap of 14 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1276 vs Urban 1432
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 40% vs Urban 100%
Urban
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 30% vs Urban 70%
Urban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -2 · Urban +5
Urban
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 1.95 / Urban 1.75
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Urban)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13069537
Burkacki1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 53 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Urban1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 178 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it96% 72 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 125 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki1wins
AwayUrban9wins
6 of 10 to a deciderUrban leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki0%0 of 3
AwayUrban85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki3Urban7n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S2Burkacki6Urban4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Burkacki3Urban7n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S4Burkacki2Urban6n = 8Urban took 6 of 8
S5Burkacki1Urban5n = 6Urban took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiUrbanB − UBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.046.8−5.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 341 vs 729 / 155035.5%47%121 / 341 vs 729 / 1550Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanBurkacki 1.95/Urban 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.1%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki—7111013102W. Urban—1171211123
LAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki—111191192W. Urban—713118113
LAug 20 · 03:35A. Burkacki—7580W. Urban—1111113
LAug 19 · 21:35A. Burkacki—11116742W. Urban—971111113
LAug 6 · 04:00A. Burkacki—1213912102W. Urban—10111114123
WAug 6 · 24:00A. Burkacki—611118123W. Urban—117811102
LJul 30 · 08:30A. Burkacki—8121651W. Urban—111018113
LJul 30 · 02:45A. Burkacki—91211692W. Urban—1110711113
LJul 23 · 06:00A. Burkacki—8913101W. Urban—111111123
LJul 15 · 22:50A. Burkacki—6290W. Urban—1111113
A. Burkacki10
WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek1.40871171A. Burkacki2.6511118113LSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.257111013102W. Urban1.551171211123LSep 3 · 24:25M. Paszkiewicz1.5071111143A. Burkacki2.371166121LSep 2 · 23:10O. Sokolowski1.651112113A. Burkacki2.0691040WSep 2 · 21:35R. Komandzik—814391A. Burkacki—111211113LAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki2.06111191192W. Urban1.65713118113
W. Urban10
WSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371WSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:50M. Lebek1.75166111152W. Urban1.95181178113WSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.257111013102W. Urban1.551171211123WAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki2.06111191192W. Urban1.65713118113
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