TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13068118
Played Sep 3Finished
Adrian Burkacki
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711117101213111012
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:28 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
711117101213111012
H2H Adrian Burkacki 4–17 Wojciech Urban Adrian Burkacki has won 4 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-17 in 21
Urban
Correct
gap of 13 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1272 vs Urban 1377
Urban
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 20% vs Urban 40%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 30% vs Urban 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -1 · Urban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.25 / Urban 1.55
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Urban)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13068118
Burkacki2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 51 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Urban1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 173 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it73% 121 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki1wins
AwayUrban9wins
6 of 10 to a deciderUrban leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki0%0 of 3
AwayUrban85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki3Urban7n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S2Burkacki6Urban4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Burkacki4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S4Burkacki1Urban7n = 8Urban took 7 of 8
S5Burkacki1Urban5n = 6Urban took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiUrbanB − UBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.545.9−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 335 vs 724 / 154535.5%46.9%119 / 335 vs 724 / 1545Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanBurkacki 2.25/Urban 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki—111191192W. Urban—713118113
LAug 20 · 03:35A. Burkacki—7580W. Urban—1111113
LAug 19 · 21:35A. Burkacki—11116742W. Urban—971111113
LAug 6 · 04:00A. Burkacki—1213912102W. Urban—10111114123
WAug 6 · 24:00A. Burkacki—611118123W. Urban—117811102
LJul 30 · 08:30A. Burkacki—8121651W. Urban—111018113
LJul 30 · 02:45A. Burkacki—91211692W. Urban—1110711113
LJul 23 · 06:00A. Burkacki—8913101W. Urban—111111123
LJul 15 · 22:50A. Burkacki—6290W. Urban—1111113
LJul 2 · 08:20A. Burkacki—71111982W. Urban—112911113
A. Burkacki10
WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek1.40871171A. Burkacki2.6511118113LSep 3 · 24:25M. Paszkiewicz1.5071111143A. Burkacki2.371166121LSep 2 · 23:10O. Sokolowski1.651112113A. Burkacki2.0691040WSep 2 · 21:35R. Komandzik—814391A. Burkacki—111211113LAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki2.06111191192W. Urban1.65713118113
W. Urban10
WSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371LSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100WSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:50M. Lebek1.75166111152W. Urban1.95181178113WAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki2.06111191192W. Urban1.65713118113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.