TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070161
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11881111910121214
Adrian Burkacki
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Burkacki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
11881111910121214
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 11–14 Adrian Burkacki Jakub Kaczmarek has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Burkacki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Burkacki
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1325 vs Burkacki 1296
Kaczmarek
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Burkacki 60%
Burkacki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 50% vs Burkacki 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -1 · Burkacki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Burkacki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 2.15 / Burkacki 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Burkacki)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13070161
Kaczmarek2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 161 of 492
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 320
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 179
Burkacki1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 13 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek5wins
AwayBurkacki5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek75%3 of 4
AwayBurkacki66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S2Kaczmarek6Burkacki4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Kaczmarek3Burkacki7n = 10Burkacki took 7 of 10
S4Kaczmarek5Burkacki3n = 8Kaczmarek took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekBurkackiK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.238.6−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 1289 vs 122 / 34236.4%35.7%469 / 1289 vs 122 / 342Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurkackiKaczmarek 2.15/Burkacki 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Burkacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—11112113A. Burkacki—891191
LAug 13 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek—1013971A. Burkacki—121111113
LAug 6 · 05:10J. Kaczmarek—911841A. Burkacki—11711113
LJul 30 · 03:30J. Kaczmarek—6940A. Burkacki—1111113
WJul 23 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek—13712113A. Burkacki—11111071
WJul 16 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—11139123A. Burkacki—91111101
WJul 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek—41112113A. Burkacki—1181051
LJul 8 · 21:35J. Kaczmarek—146541A. Burkacki—121111113
WJun 11 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—61211113A. Burkacki—1110991
LJun 4 · 04:50J. Kaczmarek—5890A. Burkacki—1111113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Jadach1.2511819113J. Kaczmarek3.757111731WSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach1.301113153J. Kaczmarek3.20811130LSep 4 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.3591131172S. Szostok1.27119119113WSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113WSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz1.601281081J. Kaczmarek2.10101112113LSep 4 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.251111113J. Kaczmarek3.509380
A. Burkacki10
WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek1.40871171A. Burkacki2.6511118113LSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.257111013102W. Urban1.551171211123LSep 3 · 24:25M. Paszkiewicz1.5071111143A. Burkacki2.371166121LSep 2 · 23:10O. Sokolowski1.651112113A. Burkacki2.0691040WSep 2 · 21:35R. Komandzik—814391A. Burkacki—111211113LAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki2.06111191192W. Urban1.65713118113
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