TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13068558
Played Sep 3Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711118711––
Adrian Burkacki
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:58 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
811711118711––
H2H Marian Lebek 27–16 Adrian Burkacki Adrian Burkacki has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:58What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-16 in 43
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1496 vs Burkacki 1257
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 80% vs Burkacki 20%
Lebek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 80% vs Burkacki 20%
Lebek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -1 · Burkacki -3
Burkacki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.40 / Burkacki 2.65
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Lebek)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13068558
Lebek1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 239 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 153 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it81% 206 of 254
Burkacki2.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 51 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek7wins
AwayBurkacki3wins
Lebek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek87.5%7 of 8
AwayBurkackin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek8Burkacki2n = 10Lebek took 8 of 10
S2Lebek5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S3Lebek6Burkacki4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Lebek4Burkacki2n = 6Lebek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekBurkackiL − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.329.7+5.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime847 / 1460 vs 119 / 33758%35.3%847 / 1460 vs 119 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.40/Burkacki 2.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 06:45M. Lebek—11612113A. Burkacki—9111021
LAug 28 · 02:45M. Lebek—1161271A. Burkacki—81114113
WAug 20 · 05:35M. Lebek—11119113A. Burkacki—371161
LAug 19 · 23:35M. Lebek—6950A. Burkacki—1111113
WAug 13 · 04:30M. Lebek—11119123A. Burkacki—7711101
LAug 12 · 21:10M. Lebek—881161A. Burkacki—11117113
WAug 6 · 08:20M. Lebek—1111113A. Burkacki—5890
WAug 6 · 02:20M. Lebek—1111113A. Burkacki—7150
WJul 30 · 07:30M. Lebek—1111113A. Burkacki—6660
WJul 30 · 01:35M. Lebek—11711113A. Burkacki—711781
M. Lebek10
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852LSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181
A. Burkacki10
WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113LSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.257111013102W. Urban1.551171211123LSep 3 · 24:25M. Paszkiewicz1.5071111143A. Burkacki2.371166121LSep 2 · 23:10O. Sokolowski1.651112113A. Burkacki2.0691040WSep 2 · 21:35R. Komandzik—814391A. Burkacki—111211113LAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki2.06111191192W. Urban1.65713118113
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