TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067546
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Paszkiewicz
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111161161412––
Adrian Burkacki
Away
2.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 65.6% is still 65.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
65.6%
65.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
7111161161412––
H2H Michal Paszkiewicz 5–1 Adrian Burkacki Adrian Burkacki has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Paszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Paszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paszkiewicz 1429 vs Burkacki 1272
Paszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paszkiewicz 60% vs Burkacki 20%
Paszkiewicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paszkiewicz 60% vs Burkacki 30%
Paszkiewicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paszkiewicz +2 · Burkacki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Paszkiewicz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPaszkiewicz 1.50 / Burkacki 2.37
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13067546
Paszkiewicz1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 80 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Burkacki2.37
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 51 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePaszkiewicz5wins
AwayBurkacki1wins
3 of 6 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaszkiewicz100%4 of 4
AwayBurkackin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paszkiewicz4Burkacki2n = 6Paszkiewicz took 4 of 6
S2Paszkiewicz3Burkacki3n = 6split evenly
S3Paszkiewicz4Burkacki2n = 6Paszkiewicz took 4 of 6
S4Paszkiewicz2Burkacki2n = 4split evenly
S5Paszkiewicz3Burkacki0n = 3Paszkiewicz took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPaszkiewiczBurkackiP − BBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match43.336.2+7.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaszkiewiczBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 789 vs 119 / 33553.5%35.5%422 / 789 vs 119 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczPaszkiewicz 1.50/Burkacki 2.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.6%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WMar 5 · 08:35M. Paszkiewicz—11101011113A. Burkacki—71212682
WMar 4 · 23:50M. Paszkiewicz—1111128113A. Burkacki—813101132
LJan 14 · 04:35M. Paszkiewicz—8111131A. Burkacki—11613113
WJan 14 · 03:45M. Paszkiewicz—1511113A. Burkacki—13280
WOct 23 · 06:00M. Paszkiewicz—991111113A. Burkacki—11116882
WOct 9 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz—1111113A. Burkacki—8470
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113
A. Burkacki10
WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek1.40871171A. Burkacki2.6511118113LSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.257111013102W. Urban1.551171211123LSep 2 · 23:10O. Sokolowski1.651112113A. Burkacki2.0691040WSep 2 · 21:35R. Komandzik—814391A. Burkacki—111211113LAug 28 · 08:20A. Burkacki2.06111191192W. Urban1.65713118113
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