TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075509
Played Sep 4Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911411––––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:11 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
911911411––––
H2H Patryk Mecik 2–7 Michal Paszkiewicz Patryk Mecik has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Paszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Paszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1267 vs Paszkiewicz 1403
Paszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 40% vs Paszkiewicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 50% vs Paszkiewicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -3 · Paszkiewicz +1
Mecik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Paszkiewicz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.05 / Paszkiewicz 1.66
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13075509
Mecik2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 104 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 88
Paszkiewicz1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 79 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it87% 58 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMecik2wins
AwayPaszkiewicz7wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik33.3%1 of 3
AwayPaszkiewicz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik3Paszkiewicz6n = 9Paszkiewicz took 6 of 9
S2Mecik2Paszkiewicz7n = 9Paszkiewicz took 7 of 9
S3Mecik2Paszkiewicz7n = 9Paszkiewicz took 7 of 9
S4Mecik1Paszkiewicz5n = 6Paszkiewicz took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricMecikPaszkiewiczM − PBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.042.2−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 805 vs 426 / 79740.3%53.5%324 / 805 vs 426 / 797Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczMecik 2.05/Paszkiewicz 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 20 · 10:10P. Mecik—94130M. Paszkiewicz—1111153
LJun 12 · 08:45P. Mecik—99110M. Paszkiewicz—1111133
LMay 6 · 03:10P. Mecik—115571M. Paszkiewicz—91111113
WMar 6 · 04:10P. Mecik—1311128133M. Paszkiewicz—1571011112
LFeb 22 · 16:30P. Mecik—217981M. Paszkiewicz—111511113
WFeb 22 · 10:30P. Mecik—1161011113M. Paszkiewicz—71112562
LDec 14 · 05:50P. Mecik—71180M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
LOct 2 · 06:25P. Mecik—118941M. Paszkiewicz—91111113
LSep 12 · 05:10P. Mecik—991581M. Paszkiewicz—111113113
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113LAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850WAug 31 · 14:20O. Jadach1.3541590P. Mecik2.901117113WAug 31 · 13:30P. Mecik1.751111113W. Buczynski1.957760
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
Upcoming Matches
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