TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053294
Played Aug 31Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811911––––
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timePatryk Mecik to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
911811911––––
H2H Patryk Mecik 10–9 Mariusz Baron Mariusz Baron has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Baron
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1292 vs Baron 1310
Baron
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 80% vs Baron 20%
Mecik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 60% vs Baron 30%
Mecik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -1 · Baron -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.15 / Baron 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Baron)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13053294
Mecik2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 101 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 84
Baron1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 222 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it83% 107 of 129
Up 1–0, closes it71% 162 of 229
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik5wins
AwayBaron5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik100%3 of 3
AwayBaron71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik3Baron7n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S2Mecik7Baron3n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S3Mecik8Baron2n = 10Mecik took 8 of 10
S4Mecik3Baron3n = 6split evenly
S5Mecik1Baron3n = 4Baron took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikBaronM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.738.6−1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 813 vs 873 / 180340.2%48.4%327 / 813 vs 873 / 1803Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronMecik 2.15/Baron 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 16:20P. Mecik—1111123M. Baron—89100
WAug 4 · 06:45P. Mecik—51111123M. Baron—1196101
LJul 30 · 16:00P. Mecik—31111962M. Baron—119811113
LMar 6 · 07:00P. Mecik—121111382M. Baron—148611113
LDec 19 · 10:55P. Mecik—661151M. Baron—11118113
WNov 21 · 14:30P. Mecik—1411133M. Baron—128110
LNov 21 · 08:30P. Mecik—51121472M. Baron—1171112113
WOct 3 · 15:55P. Mecik—881111113M. Baron—11115792
LOct 3 · 09:55P. Mecik—7780M. Baron—1111113
WOct 2 · 08:00P. Mecik—1111113M. Baron—7790
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik4.1013116113G. Wichowski1.181191191LSep 7 · 14:20P. Mecik3.30711581R. Skotniczny1.2711811113LSep 7 · 12:45P. Mecik2.401111871Y. Fomin1.5013511113WSep 7 · 11:30P. Mecik1.9571111113W. Tobiasz1.75115851WSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670
M. Baron10
LSep 8 · 08:45M. Baron2.401186111J. Pruszkowski1.5071111133WSep 8 · 07:10M. Baron1.7111131111113W. Buczynski2.0071551392WSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 7 · 04:20M. Baron2.909580L. Oracz1.351111113LSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113WSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652WSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113WSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541
Upcoming Matches
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M. Baron
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