TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091224
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurij Fomin
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311711811911––
Patryk Mecik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeYurij Fomin to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
1311711811911––
H2H Yurij Fomin 39–32 Patryk Mecik Patryk Mecik has won 32 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:17What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-32 in 71
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 7 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1331 vs Mecik 1261
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Mecik 20%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 40% vs Mecik 20%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -3 · Mecik +1
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mecik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.60 / Mecik 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Fomin)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13091224
Fomin1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 89 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it91% 58 of 64
Mecik2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 100 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin6wins
AwayMecik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin100%4 of 4
AwayMecik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Mecik6n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S2Fomin9Mecik1n = 10Fomin took 9 of 10
S3Fomin5Mecik5n = 10split evenly
S4Fomin2Mecik5n = 7Mecik took 5 of 7
S5Fomin3Mecik2n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominMecikF − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.539.0+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 530 vs 326 / 81248.9%40.2%259 / 530 vs 326 / 812Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.60/Mecik 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 03:10Y. Fomin—1111113P. Mecik—7560
LAug 17 · 17:05Y. Fomin—1014991P. Mecik—121211113
WAug 17 · 08:45Y. Fomin—711117113P. Mecik—11891182
WJun 29 · 13:55Y. Fomin—111110113P. Mecik—961271
WJun 29 · 07:55Y. Fomin—1111113P. Mecik—7720
WJun 22 · 16:40Y. Fomin—111186113P. Mecik—89111192
LJun 22 · 10:40Y. Fomin—61360P. Mecik—1115113
WJun 15 · 15:55Y. Fomin—8111110153P. Mecik—118512132
LJun 15 · 09:55Y. Fomin—81112882P. Mecik—1161011113
LJun 8 · 11:30Y. Fomin—61161192P. Mecik—118115113
Y. Fomin10
LSep 7 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.25971151S. Szostok1.5411118113LSep 7 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.109880R. Skotniczny1.651111113LSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180LSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342WSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113
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