TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091631
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurij Fomin
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711118511––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
911711118511––
H2H Yurij Fomin 2–4 Sebastian Szostok Yurij Fomin has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Szostok
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1317 vs Szostok 1468
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 20% vs Szostok 60%
Szostok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 30% vs Szostok 60%
Szostok
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -4 · Szostok +2
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.25 / Szostok 1.54
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Szostok)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13091631
Fomin2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 55 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Szostok1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 325 of 508
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it78% 210 of 269
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeFomin2wins
AwaySzostok4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSzostok leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin66.7%2 of 3
AwaySzostok100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin3Szostok3n = 6split evenly
S2Fomin2Szostok4n = 6Szostok took 4 of 6
S3Fomin3Szostok3n = 6split evenly
S4Fomin0Szostok3n = 3Szostok took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricFominSzostokF − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.039.5−4.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 531 vs 938 / 158248.8%59.3%259 / 531 vs 938 / 1582Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokFomin 2.25/Szostok 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.4%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin—1211123S. Szostok—108100
LJun 1 · 16:40Y. Fomin—11890S. Szostok—1311113
LJun 1 · 10:40Y. Fomin—11126682S. Szostok—4101111113
LMar 16 · 11:20Y. Fomin—1091161S. Szostok—12119113
LJan 5 · 16:30Y. Fomin—7370S. Szostok—1111113
WJan 5 · 10:30Y. Fomin—149116113S. Szostok—121181192
Y. Fomin10
WSep 7 · 12:45P. Mecik2.401111871Y. Fomin1.5013511113LSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.109880R. Skotniczny1.651111113LSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180LSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342
S. Szostok10
WSep 7 · 11:05G. Wichowski1.836990S. Szostok1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:55S. Szostok1.50681111113W. Tobiasz2.3611119582LSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891WSep 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.8511891142S. Szostok1.85511118113LSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351LSep 5 · 11:50S. Szostok1.837640J. Wieczerzak1.831111113WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok2.109911101W. Wojtaszczyk1.6711115123
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