TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091874
Played Sep 7Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113115811711––
Yurij Fomin
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Mecik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1113115811711––
H2H Patryk Mecik 33–39 Yurij Fomin Patryk Mecik has won 33 of their 72 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Mecik beat Fomin 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-39 in 72
Fomin
Correct
gap of 6 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1269 vs Fomin 1310
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 40% vs Fomin 0%
Mecik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 30% vs Fomin 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik +1 · Fomin -5
Fomin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.40 / Fomin 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Fomin)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13091874
Mecik2.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 100 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Fomin1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 89 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it91% 58 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik4wins
AwayFomin6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik60%3 of 5
AwayFomin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S2Mecik2Fomin8n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S3Mecik5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S4Mecik6Fomin1n = 7Mecik took 6 of 7
S5Mecik1Fomin3n = 4Fomin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikFominM − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.840.9−2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikFominBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 814 vs 259 / 53240.2%48.7%327 / 814 vs 259 / 532Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominMecik 2.40/Fomin 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 10:20P. Mecik—111111113Y. Fomin—137891
LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik—7560Y. Fomin—1111113
WAug 17 · 17:05P. Mecik—121211113Y. Fomin—1014991
LAug 17 · 08:45P. Mecik—11891182Y. Fomin—711117113
LJun 29 · 13:55P. Mecik—961271Y. Fomin—111110113
LJun 29 · 07:55P. Mecik—7720Y. Fomin—1111113
LJun 22 · 16:40P. Mecik—89111192Y. Fomin—111186113
WJun 22 · 10:40P. Mecik—1115113Y. Fomin—61360
LJun 15 · 15:55P. Mecik—118512132Y. Fomin—8111110153
WJun 15 · 09:55P. Mecik—1161011113Y. Fomin—81112882
P. Mecik10
WSep 7 · 11:30P. Mecik1.9571111113W. Tobiasz1.75115851WSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113
Y. Fomin10
LSep 7 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.25971151S. Szostok1.5411118113LSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.109880R. Skotniczny1.651111113LSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180LSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342
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