TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091634
Played Sep 7Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115118115––
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeWojciech Tobiasz to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
711115118115––
H2H Patryk Mecik 28–51 Wojciech Tobiasz Patryk Mecik has won 28 of their 79 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Tobiasz beat Mecik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Tobiasz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-51 in 79
Tobiasz
Wrong
gap of 23 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1269 vs Tobiasz 1292
Tobiasz
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 40% vs Tobiasz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 30% vs Tobiasz 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik +1 · Tobiasz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tobiasz) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 1.95 / Tobiasz 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tobiasz)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13091634
Mecik1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 100 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Tobiasz1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 53 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik3wins
AwayTobiasz7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderTobiasz leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik40%2 of 5
AwayTobiasz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik5Tobiasz5n = 10split evenly
S2Mecik8Tobiasz2n = 10Mecik took 8 of 10
S3Mecik3Tobiasz7n = 10Tobiasz took 7 of 10
S4Mecik4Tobiasz4n = 8split evenly
S5Mecik1Tobiasz6n = 7Tobiasz took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikTobiaszM − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.7−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 814 vs 337 / 73440.2%45.9%327 / 814 vs 337 / 734Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TobiaszMecik 1.95/Tobiasz 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tobiasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik—11871132W. Tobiasz—611114113
LAug 17 · 14:45P. Mecik—8970W. Tobiasz—1111113
LAug 17 · 11:05P. Mecik—111191092W. Tobiasz—691112113
LAug 10 · 13:30P. Mecik—91191182W. Tobiasz—117116113
LAug 10 · 07:30P. Mecik—11118552W. Tobiasz—681111113
WJul 27 · 12:45P. Mecik—11115113W. Tobiasz—931191
WJul 27 · 10:20P. Mecik—711511113W. Tobiasz—11811792
WJun 29 · 15:55P. Mecik—1112113W. Tobiasz—81080
LJun 29 · 09:55P. Mecik—41113972W. Tobiasz—1151111113
LJun 22 · 13:55P. Mecik—81111872W. Tobiasz—114911113
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 12:45P. Mecik2.401111871Y. Fomin1.5013511113WSep 7 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.60137891P. Mecik2.20111111113LSep 7 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.1512711113P. Mecik4.501011981WSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 7 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.70111167123W. Tobiasz2.00381111102LSep 7 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.291511113W. Tobiasz3.3013990LSep 7 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.25411911113W. Tobiasz3.5011711532LSep 7 · 09:55S. Szostok1.50681111113W. Tobiasz2.3611119582WSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113WSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113LSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741WSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143
Upcoming Matches
P. Mecik
W. Tobiasz
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.