TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13094800
Played Sep 8Finished
Mariusz Baron
Home
1.71
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11713151151113119
Witold Buczynski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
11713151151113119
H2H Mariusz Baron 24–16 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 16 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Baron
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-16 in 40
Baron
Correct
gap of 8 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baron 1359 vs Buczynski 1354
Baron
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baron 40% vs Buczynski 80%
Buczynski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baron 50% vs Buczynski 80%
Buczynski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baron +1 · Buczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaron 1.71 / Buczynski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Baron)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13094800
Baron1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 221 of 388
Up 2–0, closes it83% 105 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it70% 158 of 227
Buczynski2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 191 of 514
Down 0–1, comes back22% 65 of 302
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaron5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaron71.4%5 of 7
AwayBuczynski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baron7Buczynski3n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S2Baron6Buczynski4n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S3Baron4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S4Baron2Buczynski8n = 10Buczynski took 8 of 10
S5Baron4Buczynski3n = 7Baron took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBaronBuczynskiBaron − BuczynskiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match47.146.0+1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaronBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime875 / 1808 vs 432 / 111648.4%38.7%875 / 1808 vs 432 / 1116Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronBaron 1.71/Buczynski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 07:10M. Baron—11131111113W. Buczynski—71551392
LAug 31 · 15:55M. Baron—7137111W. Buczynski—111111133
WAug 31 · 09:55M. Baron—1211914113W. Buczynski—1013111262
WAug 25 · 12:15M. Baron—118118123W. Buczynski—711611102
LAug 25 · 08:35M. Baron—911791W. Buczynski—11911113
WApr 23 · 13:55M. Baron—11115113W. Buczynski—861151
LApr 23 · 07:55M. Baron—121011662W. Buczynski—1012411113
LMar 26 · 14:30M. Baron—111198172W. Buczynski—851111193
WMar 26 · 08:30M. Baron—111167143W. Buczynski—871111122
LMar 24 · 15:20M. Baron—61111982W. Buczynski—115711113
M. Baron10
WSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 7 · 04:20M. Baron2.909580L. Oracz1.351111113LSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113WSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652WSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113WSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541LSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Oracz1.4712125882M. Baron2.4510101111113
W. Buczynski10
LSep 8 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2911116113W. Buczynski3.10761141LSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok1.3713811113W. Buczynski2.701111691WSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek1.7611690W. Buczynski1.901311113WSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123WSep 5 · 13:10R. Piechnik1.757990W. Buczynski1.951111113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Lach1.24111091182W. Buczynski3.80512118113WSep 5 · 10:40K. Juszczyk1.407750W. Buczynski2.651111113WSep 5 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9512441182W. Buczynski1.751011118113WSep 5 · 07:55R. Idaczyk1.7561181192W. Buczynski1.95116115113
Upcoming Matches
M. Baron
Sep 8 · 08:45M. Baron2.40J. Pruszkowski1.50—Sep 8 · 09:30M. Baron2.39S. Szostok1.47—Sep 8 · 10:20M. Baron2.75K. Slawinski1.36—Sep 8 · 11:30M. Baron1.68W. Buczynski1.98—Sep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.85K. Slawinski1.34—Sep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.84O. Vincenec1.79—Sep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.48S. Szostok1.43—Sep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.75J. Pruszkowski1.36—
W. Buczynski
Sep 8 · 09:55W. Buczynski3.00J. Pruszkowski1.31—Sep 8 · 10:40W. Buczynski1.97O. Vincenec1.69—Sep 8 · 11:30W. Buczynski1.98M. Baron1.68—Sep 8 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.70S. Szostok1.37—Sep 8 · 13:55W. Buczynski3.10K. Slawinski1.29—Sep 8 · 15:55W. Buczynski3.00J. Pruszkowski1.31—Sep 8 · 16:40W. Buczynski1.97O. Vincenec1.69—
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