TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081169
Played Sep 5Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611116811115911
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:39 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeRafal Idaczyk to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
611116811115911
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 20–14 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Idaczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-14 in 34
Idaczyk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1332 vs Buczynski 1281
Idaczyk
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 40% vs Buczynski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 50% vs Buczynski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk -1 · Buczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Idaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 1.75 / Buczynski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Idaczyk)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13081169
Idaczyk1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 116 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it80% 94 of 117
Buczynski1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 185 of 507
Down 0–1, comes back21% 64 of 301
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk7wins
AwayBuczynski3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderIdaczyk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk75%6 of 8
AwayBuczynskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk8Buczynski2n = 10Idaczyk took 8 of 10
S2Idaczyk6Buczynski4n = 10Idaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Idaczyk8Buczynski2n = 10Idaczyk took 8 of 10
S4Idaczyk2Buczynski4n = 6Buczynski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykBuczynskiI − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.131.6+5.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime467 / 950 vs 427 / 111249.2%38.4%467 / 950 vs 427 / 1112Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IdaczykIdaczyk 1.75/Buczynski 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Idaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 10 · 17:05R. Idaczyk—1111113W. Buczynski—9990
LJun 10 · 08:45R. Idaczyk—116111152W. Buczynski—511713113
WMay 27 · 06:25R. Idaczyk—1111113W. Buczynski—4780
WMay 3 · 11:55R. Idaczyk—1111123W. Buczynski—56100
WMay 3 · 05:55R. Idaczyk—112117113W. Buczynski—51151192
WFeb 27 · 12:55R. Idaczyk—11811113W. Buczynski—311661
LFeb 27 · 06:55R. Idaczyk—1179101W. Buczynski—91111123
WOct 5 · 11:30R. Idaczyk—51111113W. Buczynski—114781
LOct 5 · 07:10R. Idaczyk—711991W. Buczynski—11611113
WAug 16 · 12:45R. Idaczyk—1111113W. Buczynski—7790
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113WSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113WSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130LSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111WSep 5 · 16:20R. Idaczyk2.01121111113R. Piechnik1.69147981WSep 5 · 15:05R. Idaczyk2.37881111113J. Jesiek1.5211117752LSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123LSep 5 · 12:45M. Lach1.301111113R. Idaczyk3.103720LSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek1.7611690W. Buczynski1.901311113WSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123WSep 5 · 13:10R. Piechnik1.757990W. Buczynski1.951111113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Lach1.24111091182W. Buczynski3.80512118113WSep 5 · 10:40K. Juszczyk1.407750W. Buczynski2.651111113WSep 5 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9512441182W. Buczynski1.751011118113LSep 5 · 07:10M. Lach1.47711115143W. Buczynski2.45113511122WSep 5 · 05:30R. Piechnik—8790W. Buczynski—1111113LSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890
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