TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083023
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Jesiek
Home
1.76
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113611911––––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1113611911––––
H2H Jakub Jesiek 8–6 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:31What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Jesiek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Jesiek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jesiek 1332 vs Buczynski 1368
Buczynski
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jesiek 40% vs Buczynski 100%
Buczynski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jesiek 40% vs Buczynski 80%
Buczynski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jesiek -1 · Buczynski +5
Buczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jesiek) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJesiek 1.76 / Buczynski 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jesiek)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13083023
Jesiek1.76
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 95 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Buczynski1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 185 of 507
Down 0–1, comes back21% 64 of 301
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJesiek5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJesiek75%3 of 4
AwayBuczynski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jesiek4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S2Jesiek5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Jesiek4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S4Jesiek4Buczynski3n = 7Jesiek took 4 of 7
S5Jesiek4Buczynski3n = 7Jesiek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJesiekBuczynskiJ − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.6−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJesiekBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 512 vs 432 / 111352.5%38.8%269 / 512 vs 432 / 1113Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JesiekJesiek 1.76/Buczynski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jesiek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 20 · 15:55J. Jesiek—8870W. Buczynski—1111113
LJun 20 · 09:55J. Jesiek—411111132W. Buczynski—119913113
WJun 13 · 17:05J. Jesiek—813911113W. Buczynski—111111982
WJun 13 · 08:45J. Jesiek—114119113W. Buczynski—81161182
LMay 24 · 11:30J. Jesiek—8840W. Buczynski—1111113
LMay 24 · 07:10J. Jesiek—111091172W. Buczynski—912118113
WMay 23 · 11:30J. Jesiek—1111113W. Buczynski—8950
WMay 23 · 07:10J. Jesiek—911811113W. Buczynski—11511742
LMay 3 · 15:55J. Jesiek—931411102W. Buczynski—1111126123
WMay 3 · 09:55J. Jesiek—111259113W. Buczynski—110111172
J. Jesiek10
WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113LSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670WSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113LSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123WSep 5 · 13:10R. Piechnik1.757990W. Buczynski1.951111113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Lach1.24111091182W. Buczynski3.80512118113WSep 5 · 10:40K. Juszczyk1.407750W. Buczynski2.651111113WSep 5 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9512441182W. Buczynski1.751011118113WSep 5 · 07:55R. Idaczyk1.7561181192W. Buczynski1.95116115113LSep 5 · 07:10M. Lach1.47711115143W. Buczynski2.45113511122WSep 5 · 05:30R. Piechnik—8790W. Buczynski—1111113LSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890
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