TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065572
Played Sep 2Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117118119––––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 7–4 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (66%)
Buczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Rus
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1064 vs Buczynski 1298
Buczynski
Wrong
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 0% vs Buczynski 60%
Buczynski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 20% vs Buczynski 50%
Buczynski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus -5 · Buczynski -1
Rus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Buczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.70 / Buczynski 1.37
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Buczynski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065572
Rus2.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog30% won 69 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Buczynski1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 38 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it67% 28 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus6wins
AwayBuczynski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus50%4 of 8
AwayBuczynskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus8Buczynski2n = 10Rus took 8 of 10
S2Rus4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S3Rus5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S4Rus4Buczynski5n = 9Buczynski took 5 of 9
S5Rus3Buczynski2n = 5Rus took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusBuczynskiR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.341.9+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 385 vs 434 / 112231.4%38.7%121 / 385 vs 434 / 1122Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiRus 2.70/Buczynski 1.37
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus—41111113W. Buczynski—115871
WJun 9 · 14:20M. Rus—12311113W. Buczynski—1011871
WJun 9 · 06:20M. Rus—411116113W. Buczynski—11871162
LMay 12 · 16:40M. Rus—1111111192W. Buczynski—513913113
LMay 12 · 10:40M. Rus—11117952W. Buczynski—681111113
WApr 14 · 12:20M. Rus—127513113W. Buczynski—1011111172
LApr 14 · 08:20M. Rus—1111671W. Buczynski—71311113
LDec 31 · 12:55M. Rus—1138131W. Buczynski—91111153
WDec 31 · 06:55M. Rus—1391311123W. Buczynski—1111152102
WDec 2 · 14:30M. Rus—1111123W. Buczynski—86100
M. Rus10
LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus2.7541111113W. Buczynski1.38115871LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus3.75611112112M. Adamus1.22119911133WSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123LAug 25 · 17:05M. Rus2.7067121362P. Kurek1.4011111011113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek1.7611690W. Buczynski1.901311113WSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123WSep 5 · 13:10R. Piechnik1.757990W. Buczynski1.951111113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Lach1.24111091182W. Buczynski3.80512118113WSep 5 · 10:40K. Juszczyk1.407750W. Buczynski2.651111113WSep 5 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9512441182W. Buczynski1.751011118113WSep 5 · 07:55R. Idaczyk1.7561181192W. Buczynski1.95116115113LSep 5 · 07:10M. Lach1.47711115143W. Buczynski2.45113511122LSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus2.7541111113W. Buczynski1.38115871
Upcoming Matches
M. Rus
Nothing scheduled
W. Buczynski1 of 1 neutral
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